Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Down 70%
$1.8K
$-2.1K
Smart Money Signal
19 of 27 top traders (70%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 61% 503-323 (826) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $724.82 | $734 | +$9.18 | 98% 3919-84 (4003) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$692.4 | 52% 3521-3295 (6816) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $508.86 | $500 | +$2.45 | 54% 3695-3113 (6808) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 48.7¢ | $177.84 | $206.63 | +$34 | 49% 2352-2415 (4767) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 95.9¢ | $127.15 | $76.76 | -$9.22 | 52% 2275-2131 (4406) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $64.97 | $66.3 | +$1.33 | 33% 1084-2220 (3304) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $41.4 | $45 | +$3.6 | 47% 2261-2522 (4783) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 90.9¢ | $36.35 | $40 | +$3.65 | 48% 2240-2454 (4694) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $23.06 | $25.62 | +$2.56 | 70% 1655-694 (2349) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 94.8¢ | $23.7 | $25 | +$1.3 | 47% 2170-2411 (4581) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 93.2¢ | $27.41 | $18.83 | -$2.64 | 39% 1501-2385 (3886) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 94.4¢ | $17.46 | $18.49 | +$1.03 | 67% 3532-1757 (5289) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $13.84 | $15.28 | +$1.44 | 51% 3277-3198 (6475) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 92.3¢ | $14.76 | $16 | +$1.24 | 52% 2764-2526 (5290) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 94.7¢ | $14.72 | $15.54 | +$0.82 | 44% 2169-2794 (4963) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $14.03 | $14.01 | -$0.02 | 59% 3835-2614 (6449) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $13.15 | $10 | +$1.25 | 62% 4151-2496 (6647) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $6.79 | $7 | +$0.21 | 50% 2497-2540 (5037) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $5.82 | $6.13 | +$0.31 | 64% 2500-1377 (3877) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $4.63 | — | -$4.63 | 47% 1538-1764 (3302) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $3.2 | $5 | +$1.8 | 54% 2422-2063 (4485) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.6¢ | $8 | — | -$8 | 38% 686-1129 (1815) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $10.72 | — | -$10.72 | 58% 5051-3712 (8763) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $8.8 | — | -$8.8 | 51% 1955-1898 (3853) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
61%
503-323 (826)
Invested
$724.82
Value
$734
PnL
+$9.18
Record
98%
3919-84 (4003)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$692.4
Record
52%
3521-3295 (6816)
Invested
$508.86
Value
$500
PnL
+$2.45
Record
54%
3695-3113 (6808)
Invested
$177.84
Value
$206.63
PnL
+$34
Record
49%
2352-2415 (4767)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$127.15
Value
$76.76
PnL
-$9.22
Record
52%
2275-2131 (4406)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$64.97
Value
$66.3
PnL
+$1.33
Record
33%
1084-2220 (3304)
Invested
$41.4
Value
$45
PnL
+$3.6
Record
47%
2261-2522 (4783)
Invested
$36.35
Value
$40
PnL
+$3.65
Record
48%
2240-2454 (4694)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$23.06
Value
$25.62
PnL
+$2.56
Record
70%
1655-694 (2349)
ohioism<$100Invested
$23.7
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.3
Record
47%
2170-2411 (4581)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$27.41
Value
$18.83
PnL
-$2.64
Record
39%
1501-2385 (3886)
Invested
$17.46
Value
$18.49
PnL
+$1.03
Record
67%
3532-1757 (5289)
Invested
$13.84
Value
$15.28
PnL
+$1.44
Record
51%
3277-3198 (6475)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$14.76
Value
$16
PnL
+$1.24
Record
52%
2764-2526 (5290)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$14.72
Value
$15.54
PnL
+$0.82
Record
44%
2169-2794 (4963)
Invested
$14.03
Value
$14.01
PnL
-$0.02
Record
59%
3835-2614 (6449)
Invested
$13.15
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.25
Record
62%
4151-2496 (6647)
Invested
$6.79
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.21
Record
50%
2497-2540 (5037)
Invested
$5.82
Value
$6.13
PnL
+$0.31
Record
64%
2500-1377 (3877)
Invested
$4.63
Value
—
PnL
-$4.63
Record
47%
1538-1764 (3302)
Invested
$3.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.8
Record
54%
2422-2063 (4485)
Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
-$8
Record
38%
686-1129 (1815)
Invested
$10.72
Value
—
PnL
-$10.72
Record
58%
5051-3712 (8763)
Invested
$8.8
Value
—
PnL
-$8.8
Record
51%
1955-1898 (3853)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $734
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
uninformedfloww
Down — $206.63
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $76.76
pspspsps5
Down — $66.3
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $45
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $40
BoneOhio
Down — $25.62