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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Resolved Down. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

22

Down 59%

Total Value

$2.6K

Combined PnL

$-1.5K

Smart Money Signal

Down

13 of 22 top traders (59%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,131
Combined PnL$-1.6K
Down13 traders
Total Value$2.6K
Total Shares2,648
Combined PnL+$82.61
Up — 41%Down — 59%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

—

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

61%

490-314 (804)

HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$1,019.18

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$13.82

Record

98%

3857-81 (3938)

SO
soswald1
Down

Invested

$750

Value

$750

PnL

+$19.5

Record

52%

3474-3256 (6730)

BY
ByteBadger92
Down

Invested

$509.3

Value

$500

PnL

+$1.7

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Down

Invested

$90.65

Value

$95

PnL

+$9.2

Record

52%

2247-2098 (4345)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$61.94

Value

$67

PnL

+$5.06

Record

52%

2738-2492 (5230)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$37.6

Value

$52

PnL

+$14.4

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

pspspsps5<$100
Down

Invested

$42.42

Value

$48.39

PnL

+$5.97

Record

33%

1061-2196 (3257)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$41.29

Value

$44

PnL

+$2.71

Record

38%

1469-2355 (3824)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.02

Value

—

PnL

-$6.02

Record

52%

1415-1309 (2724)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$24.35

Value

$27.03

PnL

+$2.68

Record

59%

3783-2578 (6361)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$8.7

Value

$15

PnL

+$6.3

Record

54%

2390-2039 (4429)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$6.79

Value

$7.07

PnL

+$0.28

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$4.05

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.95

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

50%

2462-2507 (4969)

LI
Little-bigCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.55

Value

—

PnL

-$1.55

Record

51%

990-949 (1939)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.4

Value

—

PnL

-$2.4

Record

47%

2230-2478 (4708)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

44%

2131-2751 (4882)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$51.17

Value

—

PnL

-$51.17

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$44.43

Value

—

PnL

-$44.43

Record

49%

2317-2371 (4688)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

37%

1383-2353 (3736)

wowitsamazingCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$49

Value

—

PnL

-$49

Record

47%

181-205 (386)