Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 44%
1 arb excluded
$4.4K
$608.05
Smart Money Signal
12 of 27 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed15 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 16.7¢ | $436.22 | $1.5K | +$1.2K | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$5.18 | 61% 490-314 (804) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$681.8 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 8.8¢ | $51.95 | $591.1 | +$539.15 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $506.2 | $490 | -$11.5 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.2¢ | $256.2 | — | -$256.2 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $245 | $490 | +$244.7 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $204.13 | $206.19 | +$2.06 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
 wowitsamazing | Upavg 42.3¢ | $49.66 | $117.37 | +$67.71 | 47% 181-205 (386) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Downavg 78¢ | $105.12 | — | -$105.12 | 51% 1450-1401 (2851) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 74.1¢ | $122.28 | — | -$122.28 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 49.9¢ | $42.73 | $74 | +$31.27 | 47% 2139-2368 (4507) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 61.5¢ | $72.04 | — | -$72.04 | 51% 990-949 (1939) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 79.6¢ | $99.77 | — | -$73.59 | 52% 2247-2098 (4345) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.4¢ | $47.52 | — | -$47.52 | 47% 1521-1740 (3261) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $14.39 | $40 | +$25.61 | 58% 5031-3699 (8730) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 7.3¢ | $2.88 | $39.67 | +$36.79 | 38% 1469-2355 (3824) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 55.3¢ | $33.67 | $39.34 | +$5.67 | 47% 2230-2478 (4708) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 90.9¢ | $80.56 | — | -$80.56 | 52% 2738-2492 (5230) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $32.25 | — | -$32.25 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.1¢ | $22.31 | — | -$18.22 | 50% 2462-2507 (4969) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $16.45 | — | -$16.45 | 49% 1304-1382 (2686) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 61.1¢ | $15.09 | — | -$14.32 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $45.16 | $16.76 | +$10.05 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $3.1 | $10 | +$6.9 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $7.36 | — | -$7.36 | 71% 1635-682 (2317) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 59.9¢ | $75.43 | — | -$75.43 | 44% 2131-2751 (4882) |
Invested
$436.22
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$5.18
Record
61%
490-314 (804)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$681.8
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
Invested
$51.95
Value
$591.1
PnL
+$539.15
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$506.2
Value
$490
PnL
-$11.5
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Both legs:
Invested
$204.13
Value
$206.19
PnL
+$2.06
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.66
Value
$117.37
PnL
+$67.71
Record
47%
181-205 (386)
Invested
$105.12
Value
—
PnL
-$105.12
Record
51%
1450-1401 (2851)
Invested
$122.28
Value
—
PnL
-$122.28
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
ohioism<$100Invested
$42.73
Value
$74
PnL
+$31.27
Record
47%
2139-2368 (4507)
Invested
$72.04
Value
—
PnL
-$72.04
Record
51%
990-949 (1939)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$99.77
Value
—
PnL
-$73.59
Record
52%
2247-2098 (4345)
Invested
$47.52
Value
—
PnL
-$47.52
Record
47%
1521-1740 (3261)
Invested
$14.39
Value
$40
PnL
+$25.61
Record
58%
5031-3699 (8730)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$2.88
Value
$39.67
PnL
+$36.79
Record
38%
1469-2355 (3824)
Invested
$33.67
Value
$39.34
PnL
+$5.67
Record
47%
2230-2478 (4708)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$80.56
Value
—
PnL
-$80.56
Record
52%
2738-2492 (5230)
Invested
$32.25
Value
—
PnL
-$32.25
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
Invested
$22.31
Value
—
PnL
-$18.22
Record
50%
2462-2507 (4969)
Invested
$16.45
Value
—
PnL
-$16.45
Record
49%
1304-1382 (2686)
Invested
$15.09
Value
—
PnL
-$14.32
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
Invested
$45.16
Value
$16.76
PnL
+$10.05
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
Invested
$3.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.9
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$7.36
Value
—
PnL
-$7.36
Record
71%
1635-682 (2317)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$75.43
Value
—
PnL
-$75.43
Record
44%
2131-2751 (4882)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Up — $1.5K
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.3K
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $591.1
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $206.19
wowitsamazing
Up — $117.37
mo-money
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $74