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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

20

Down 65%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.4K

Combined PnL

-$196.19

Smart Money Signal

Down

13 of 20 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down13 traders
Total Value$959.84
Total Shares960
Combined PnL+$40.87
Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares386
Combined PnL-$237.06
Down — 65%Up — 35%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$1.03

Record

61%

490-314 (804)

Both legs:

Up$740.6450¢-$737.91
Down$738.1250¢+$736.88
BY
ByteBadger92
Down

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$2.1

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$213.79

Value

$216

PnL

+$2.21

Record

98%

3857-81 (3938)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$64.14

Value

$65.05

PnL

+$0.92

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$40.49

Value

$43

PnL

+$2.51

Record

38%

1469-2355 (3824)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR
Up

Invested

$195.78

Value

—

PnL

-$172.92

Record

49%

2317-2371 (4688)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$23.85

Value

$50

PnL

+$26.15

Record

47%

2230-2478 (4708)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$14.45

Value

—

PnL

-$14.45

Record

54%

2390-2039 (4429)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$20.75

Value

$15.35

PnL

-$3.9

Record

52%

3474-3256 (6730)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$14.58

Value

$14.44

PnL

-$0.14

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$13.65

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.35

Record

71%

1635-682 (2317)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$13.6

Value

—

PnL

-$13.6

Record

44%

2131-2751 (4882)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$17.7

Value

—

PnL

-$17.7

Record

52%

2247-2098 (4345)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$9.82

Value

$9

PnL

-$0.82

Record

65%

2474-1360 (3834)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$6.3

Value

$15

PnL

+$8.7

Record

48%

2195-2413 (4608)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$7.86

Value

$7

PnL

-$0.86

Record

50%

2462-2507 (4969)

RA
rabadabadooCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.26

Value

—

PnL

-$6.26

Record

47%

1521-1740 (3261)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$10.92

Value

—

PnL

-$10.92

Record

47%

2139-2368 (4507)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$8.45

Value

$5

PnL

+$0

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

HC
Hcrystallash<$100
Down

Invested

$2.35

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.65

Record

58%

5031-3699 (8730)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x7e467f7a...131859
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794702300

Traders in this Market

0X

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$1.03
BY

ByteBadger92

Down — $500

+$2.1
HO

hoodquant

Down — $216

+$2.21
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $65.05

+$0.92

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $43

+$2.51
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Up — $0

-$172.92
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $50

+$26.15
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$14.45
SO

soswald1

Down — $15.35

-$3.9
AS

asdaefef

Down — $14.44

-$0.14
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