Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 47%
1 arb excluded
$1.9K
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 17 top traders (47%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 61% 490-314 (804) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$12.51 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.8¢ | $504 | $490 | -$8 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.8¢ | $254 | — | -$254 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $245 | $490 | +$246 | |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $280.56 | $273 | -$7.56 | 52% 1415-1309 (2724) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $31.68 | $33 | +$1.32 | 38% 1469-2355 (3824) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 75.4¢ | $117.58 | $30 | -$6.54 | 52% 2247-2098 (4345) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $11.1 | — | -$11.1 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $14.71 | $15 | +$0.29 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $5.04 | — | -$5.04 | 58% 5031-3699 (8730) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $5.34 | $6.21 | +$0.87 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $4.45 | $5.06 | +$0.61 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $3.51 | $6.5 | +$2.99 | 49% 1304-1382 (2686) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $1.85 | — | -$1.85 | 47% 2139-2368 (4507) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 47% 2230-2478 (4708) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.1¢ | $5.69 | — | -$5.69 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $14.4 | — | -$14.4 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
61%
490-314 (804)
Invested
$1,010.49
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$12.51
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
Invested
$504
Value
$490
PnL
-$8
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Both legs:
Invested
$280.56
Value
$273
PnL
-$7.56
Record
52%
1415-1309 (2724)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$31.68
Value
$33
PnL
+$1.32
Record
38%
1469-2355 (3824)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$117.58
Value
$30
PnL
-$6.54
Record
52%
2247-2098 (4345)
Invested
$11.1
Value
—
PnL
-$11.1
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
Invested
$14.71
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.29
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
Invested
$5.04
Value
—
PnL
-$5.04
Record
58%
5031-3699 (8730)
Invested
$5.34
Value
$6.21
PnL
+$0.87
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
Invested
$4.45
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$0.61
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
Invested
$3.51
Value
$6.5
PnL
+$2.99
Record
49%
1304-1382 (2686)
Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.85
Value
—
PnL
-$1.85
Record
47%
2139-2368 (4507)
Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
47%
2230-2478 (4708)
Invested
$5.69
Value
—
PnL
-$5.69
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$14.4
Value
—
PnL
-$14.4
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $1.0K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x50f7
Down — $273
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $33
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $30
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $15
Hcrystallash
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $6.21