Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

-$15.08

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 19 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$2.2K

Total Shares2,208

Combined PnL+$35.74

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares305

Combined PnL-$50.82

Down — 63%Up — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$1.24	61% 490-314 (804)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.9¢	$502.1	$495	-$3.8	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$247.5	$495	+$248.3
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$252.1	—	-$252.1
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.5¢	$357.72	$363.05	+$5.33	98% 3857-81 (3938)
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 99.9¢	$279.72	$280	+$0.28	52% 1415-1309 (2724)
LI Little-big<$100	Downavg 57¢	$28.5	$50	+$21.5	51% 990-949 (1939)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$72.32	—	-$21.7	52% 2247-2098 (4345)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 95.1¢	$17.26	$15.37	-$1.89	67% 3477-1728 (5205)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 95¢	$11.69	$12.31	+$0.62	59% 3783-2578 (6361)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 66¢	$11.7	$13	+$1.3	51% 1932-1885 (3817)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 95¢	$9.5	$10	+$0.5	52% 2738-2492 (5230)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$7.75	—	-$7.75	52% 3474-3256 (6730)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 67¢	$5.76	$6.06	+$0.51	63% 4099-2458 (6557)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 52¢	$3.12	$6	+$2.88	42% 1736-2377 (4113)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 85.3¢	$3.08	$3.61	+$0.53	54% 2390-2039 (4429)
PB PBot-5<$100	Downavg 51¢	$3.06	$6	+$2.94	49% 1304-1382 (2686)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$1.96	—	-$1.96	48% 2195-2413 (4608)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 7.5¢	$5.26	—	-$5.26	51% 3248-3166 (6414)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 3.8¢	$0.87	—	-$0.87	33% 1061-2196 (3257)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 2¢	$2.78	—	-$2.78	38% 1469-2355 (3824)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 41¢	$10.5	—	-$10.5	49% 2317-2371 (4688)