Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 82%
2 arb excluded
$4.2K
$57.6
Smart Money Signal
19 of 23 top traders (83%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$8.57 | 61% 490-314 (804) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $671.06 | $1.3K | +$719.45 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $663.22 | — | -$710.88 | |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50.4¢ | $758.4 | $755 | +$3.75 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 96¢ | $596.79 | $621.97 | +$25.18 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $513.9 | $520 | +$6.1 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $507 | $490 | +$2 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.4¢ | $246.92 | $490 | +$252 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 93.1¢ | $179.54 | $192.88 | +$13.34 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 91.4¢ | $47.32 | $51.75 | +$4.43 | 38% 1469-2355 (3824) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $35.28 | $48 | +$12.72 | 51% 1932-1885 (3817) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $33.6 | $35 | +$1.4 | 33% 1061-2196 (3257) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $13.95 | $15 | +$1.05 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 85.7¢ | $41.89 | $20 | +$2.11 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $23.46 | $20 | -$2.46 | 44% 2131-2751 (4882) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $13.65 | $15.17 | +$1.52 | 71% 1635-682 (2317) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $44.44 | $15 | +$1.62 | 52% 2247-2098 (4345) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 91.7¢ | $15.1 | $15.04 | -$0.06 | 47% 2230-2478 (4708) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $19.4 | $10 | +$1.9 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $9.83 | $13.84 | +$4.01 | 38% 670-1098 (1768) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 86.1¢ | $8.95 | $10.4 | +$1.45 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 58% 5031-3699 (8730) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $4.95 | $5.16 | +$0.21 | 50% 2462-2507 (4969) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $5.58 | $6 | +$0.42 | 65% 2474-1360 (3834) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $3.13 | — | -$3.13 | 51% 990-949 (1939) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.5¢ | $3.68 | — | -$3.68 | 52% 2738-2492 (5230) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $10.35 | — | -$10.35 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $1.7 | $0.01 | +$1.48 | 46% 2852-3388 (6240) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$8.57
Record
61%
490-314 (804)
Both legs:
Invested
$758.4
Value
$755
PnL
+$3.75
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
Invested
$596.79
Value
$621.97
PnL
+$25.18
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$513.9
Value
$520
PnL
+$6.1
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
Invested
$507
Value
$490
PnL
+$2
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Both legs:
Invested
$179.54
Value
$192.88
PnL
+$13.34
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$47.32
Value
$51.75
PnL
+$4.43
Record
38%
1469-2355 (3824)
Invested
$35.28
Value
$48
PnL
+$12.72
Record
51%
1932-1885 (3817)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$33.6
Value
$35
PnL
+$1.4
Record
33%
1061-2196 (3257)
Invested
$13.95
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.05
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
Invested
$41.89
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.11
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$23.46
Value
$20
PnL
-$2.46
Record
44%
2131-2751 (4882)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$13.65
Value
$15.17
PnL
+$1.52
Record
71%
1635-682 (2317)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$44.44
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.62
Record
52%
2247-2098 (4345)
Invested
$15.1
Value
$15.04
PnL
-$0.06
Record
47%
2230-2478 (4708)
Invested
$19.4
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.9
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
Invested
$9.83
Value
$13.84
PnL
+$4.01
Record
38%
670-1098 (1768)
Invested
$8.95
Value
$10.4
PnL
+$1.45
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
58%
5031-3699 (8730)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5.16
PnL
+$0.21
Record
50%
2462-2507 (4969)
Invested
$5.58
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.42
Record
65%
2474-1360 (3834)
Invested
$3.13
Value
—
PnL
-$3.13
Record
51%
990-949 (1939)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.68
Value
—
PnL
-$3.68
Record
52%
2738-2492 (5230)
Invested
$10.35
Value
—
PnL
-$10.35
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
Invested
$1.7
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$1.48
Record
46%
2852-3388 (6240)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Up — $755
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $621.97
hoodquant
Up — $520
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Up — $192.88
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $51.75
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $48
pspspsps5
Up — $35
ply-pm2
Up — $15