Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 32% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
19
Up 32%
$1.2K
$-1.9K
Smart Money Signal
6 of 19 top traders (32%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 61% 490-314 (804) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $750 | +$3.75 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 97¢ | $153.15 | $157.81 | +$4.67 | 33% 1061-2196 (3257) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 96.1¢ | $71.07 | $73.89 | +$2.82 | 38% 1469-2355 (3824) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 87.3¢ | $57.63 | $46 | +$8.29 | 52% 2247-2098 (4345) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $37.96 | $38 | +$0.04 | 52% 1415-1309 (2724) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 80.1¢ | $34.59 | $33 | -$1.59 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 61.2¢ | $20.59 | $23.6 | +$3.01 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $15.7 | $16 | +$0.3 | 52% 2738-2492 (5230) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 91.9¢ | $12.19 | $13.26 | +$1.07 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $6.67 | — | -$6.67 | 59% 3783-2578 (6361) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $5.76 | $6 | +$0.24 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.5¢ | $5.23 | — | -$5.23 | 38% 670-1098 (1768) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 47% 1521-1740 (3261) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $3.35 | $5 | +$1.65 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 47% 2139-2368 (4507) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $0.97 | $1.97 | +$1 | 51% 1932-1885 (3817) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $9.18 | — | -$9.18 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
61%
490-314 (804)
Invested
$750
Value
$750
PnL
+$3.75
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
pspspsps5Invested
$153.15
Value
$157.81
PnL
+$4.67
Record
33%
1061-2196 (3257)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$71.07
Value
$73.89
PnL
+$2.82
Record
38%
1469-2355 (3824)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$57.63
Value
$46
PnL
+$8.29
Record
52%
2247-2098 (4345)
Invested
$37.96
Value
$38
PnL
+$0.04
Record
52%
1415-1309 (2724)
Invested
$34.59
Value
$33
PnL
-$1.59
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Invested
$20.59
Value
$23.6
PnL
+$3.01
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$15.7
Value
$16
PnL
+$0.3
Record
52%
2738-2492 (5230)
Invested
$12.19
Value
$13.26
PnL
+$1.07
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
Invested
$6.67
Value
—
PnL
-$6.67
Record
59%
3783-2578 (6361)
Invested
$5.76
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.24
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$5.23
Value
—
PnL
-$5.23
Record
38%
670-1098 (1768)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
47%
1521-1740 (3261)
Invested
$3.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.65
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
47%
2139-2368 (4507)
Invested
$0.97
Value
$1.97
PnL
+$1
Record
51%
1932-1885 (3817)
Invested
$9.18
Value
—
PnL
-$9.18
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
Down — $750
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
pspspsps5
Down — $157.81
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $73.89
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $46
0x50f7
Down — $38
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $33
ply-pm2
Down — $23.6
MayorMamdani
Down — $16