Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 59%
1 arb excluded
$3.7K
-$125.31
Smart Money Signal
13 of 22 top traders (59%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$16.27 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$0.82 | 61% 490-314 (804) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $501.2 | $502 | +$0.8 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $251.2 | $502 | +$250.8 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 58.1¢ | $86.86 | $86 | -$0.86 | 50% 4482-4555 (9037) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 51.5¢ | $42.79 | $68 | +$25.21 | 51% 1932-1885 (3817) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 61.5¢ | $30.19 | $26 | -$4.19 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 65.2¢ | $15.58 | $19.45 | +$3.87 | 52% 2247-2098 (4345) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.7¢ | $20.14 | — | -$20.14 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $14.13 | $15 | +$0.87 | 54% 2390-2039 (4429) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $7.85 | $10 | +$2.43 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $9.36 | $10.17 | +$0.81 | 59% 3783-2578 (6361) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $5.65 | $10 | +$4.35 | 44% 2131-2751 (4882) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.7¢ | $3.16 | — | -$3.16 | 38% 1469-2355 (3824) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $12.49 | — | -$12.49 | 52% 1415-1309 (2724) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $5.52 | $6.07 | +$0.55 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $3.8 | $5 | +$1.2 | 47% 2230-2478 (4708) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $1.49 | — | -$1.49 | 33% 1061-2196 (3257) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $2.75 | $5 | +$2.25 | 47% 1521-1740 (3261) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $0.46 | — | -$0.46 | 49% 1304-1382 (2686) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 28.4¢ | $128.45 | — | -$128.45 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.1¢ | $9.85 | — | -$9.85 | 47% 2139-2368 (4507) |
Invested
$1,562.52
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$16.27
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$0.82
Record
61%
490-314 (804)
Invested
$501.2
Value
$502
PnL
+$0.8
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Both legs:
Invested
$86.86
Value
$86
PnL
-$0.86
Record
50%
4482-4555 (9037)
Invested
$42.79
Value
$68
PnL
+$25.21
Record
51%
1932-1885 (3817)
Invested
$30.19
Value
$26
PnL
-$4.19
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$15.58
Value
$19.45
PnL
+$3.87
Record
52%
2247-2098 (4345)
Invested
$20.14
Value
—
PnL
-$20.14
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
Invested
$14.13
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.87
Record
54%
2390-2039 (4429)
Invested
$7.85
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.43
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
Invested
$9.36
Value
$10.17
PnL
+$0.81
Record
59%
3783-2578 (6361)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$5.65
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.35
Record
44%
2131-2751 (4882)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.16
Value
—
PnL
-$3.16
Record
38%
1469-2355 (3824)
Invested
$12.49
Value
—
PnL
-$12.49
Record
52%
1415-1309 (2724)
Invested
$5.52
Value
$6.07
PnL
+$0.55
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.2
Record
47%
2230-2478 (4708)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.49
Value
—
PnL
-$1.49
Record
33%
1061-2196 (3257)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$2.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.25
Record
47%
1521-1740 (3261)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
Invested
$0.46
Value
—
PnL
-$0.46
Record
49%
1304-1382 (2686)
Invested
$128.45
Value
—
PnL
-$128.45
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.85
Value
—
PnL
-$9.85
Record
47%
2139-2368 (4507)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.6K
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
Up — $86
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $68
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $26
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $19.45
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
Up — $15
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $10