Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
26
Up 50%
$1.6K
$-2.3K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 26 top traders (50%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.3K | 61% 473-305 (778) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $754.5 | — | -$724.74 | 52% 3418-3216 (6634) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $651.36 | $645.94 | -$5.37 | 71% 1607-666 (2273) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $515.97 | $500 | +$1.5 | 54% 3546-3013 (6559) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 79.5¢ | $208.62 | $188.83 | -$19.79 | 50% 4444-4507 (8951) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 16.4¢ | $241 | — | -$154.92 | 49% 2276-2326 (4602) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 89.5¢ | $207.54 | $72 | -$19.45 | 52% 2212-2063 (4275) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 56.8¢ | $41.12 | $55.97 | +$17.55 | 47% 2089-2333 (4422) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $40.63 | $46 | +$5.37 | 48% 1266-1353 (2619) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 67.3¢ | $25.45 | $37.79 | +$12.34 | 48% 2150-2369 (4519) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $36.04 | — | -$36.04 | 58% 5007-3677 (8684) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 30.6¢ | $22.19 | — | -$22.19 | 54% 2350-2009 (4359) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 30.9¢ | $27.43 | — | -$27.43 | 47% 2188-2425 (4613) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 85.7¢ | $21.1 | $21.42 | +$0.32 | 50% 2427-2459 (4886) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $17.38 | $18.86 | +$1.48 | 67% 3426-1692 (5118) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.8¢ | $20.94 | — | -$20.94 | 44% 2099-2693 (4792) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 51.1¢ | $9.12 | $10.44 | +$1.32 | 47% 1495-1717 (3212) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 81.5¢ | $11 | $10.12 | -$0.88 | 65% 2432-1333 (3765) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 56.6¢ | $13.46 | — | -$13.46 | 52% 2695-2461 (5156) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.3¢ | $6.33 | — | -$6.33 | 38% 1439-2312 (3751) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $4.8 | $10 | +$5.2 | 50% 817-809 (1626) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 71.5¢ | $8.68 | $3.87 | -$0.73 | 63% 4035-2416 (6451) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $6.34 | — | -$4.81 | 59% 3720-2542 (6262) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.5¢ | $10.15 | — | -$10.15 | 38% 650-1068 (1718) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1362-2297 (3659) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
61%
473-305 (778)
Invested
$754.5
Value
—
PnL
-$724.74
Record
52%
3418-3216 (6634)
BoneOhioInvested
$651.36
Value
$645.94
PnL
-$5.37
Record
71%
1607-666 (2273)
Invested
$515.97
Value
$500
PnL
+$1.5
Record
54%
3546-3013 (6559)
Invested
$208.62
Value
$188.83
PnL
-$19.79
Record
50%
4444-4507 (8951)
Invested
$241
Value
—
PnL
-$154.92
Record
49%
2276-2326 (4602)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$207.54
Value
$72
PnL
-$19.45
Record
52%
2212-2063 (4275)
ohioism<$100Invested
$41.12
Value
$55.97
PnL
+$17.55
Record
47%
2089-2333 (4422)
Invested
$40.63
Value
$46
PnL
+$5.37
Record
48%
1266-1353 (2619)
Invested
$25.45
Value
$37.79
PnL
+$12.34
Record
48%
2150-2369 (4519)
Invested
$36.04
Value
—
PnL
-$36.04
Record
58%
5007-3677 (8684)
Invested
$22.19
Value
—
PnL
-$22.19
Record
54%
2350-2009 (4359)
Invested
$27.43
Value
—
PnL
-$27.43
Record
47%
2188-2425 (4613)
Invested
$21.1
Value
$21.42
PnL
+$0.32
Record
50%
2427-2459 (4886)
Invested
$17.38
Value
$18.86
PnL
+$1.48
Record
67%
3426-1692 (5118)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$20.94
Value
—
PnL
-$20.94
Record
44%
2099-2693 (4792)
Invested
$9.12
Value
$10.44
PnL
+$1.32
Record
47%
1495-1717 (3212)
Invested
$11
Value
$10.12
PnL
-$0.88
Record
65%
2432-1333 (3765)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$13.46
Value
—
PnL
-$13.46
Record
52%
2695-2461 (5156)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.33
Value
—
PnL
-$6.33
Record
38%
1439-2312 (3751)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.2
Record
50%
817-809 (1626)
Invested
$8.68
Value
$3.87
PnL
-$0.73
Record
63%
4035-2416 (6451)
Invested
$6.34
Value
—
PnL
-$4.81
Record
59%
3720-2542 (6262)
Invested
$10.15
Value
—
PnL
-$10.15
Record
38%
650-1068 (1718)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1362-2297 (3659)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
BoneOhio
Down — $645.94
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
asdcaxz
Down — $188.83
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $72
ohioism
Down — $55.97
PBot-5
Down — $46
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $37.79