Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 55%
$2.2K
$-1.4K
Smart Money Signal
12 of 22 top traders (55%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.3K | 61% 473-305 (778) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.9¢ | $738.12 | $753.66 | +$15.54 | 98% 3774-79 (3853) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $750 | +$20.09 | 52% 3418-3216 (6634) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $506.4 | $500 | +$6.7 | 54% 3546-3013 (6559) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 81.3¢ | $117.49 | $122.95 | +$5.46 | 50% 4444-4507 (8951) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 86.3¢ | $22.43 | $26 | +$3.57 | 52% 2695-2461 (5156) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 92.3¢ | $32.1 | $20.16 | -$11.94 | 47% 2188-2425 (4613) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.8¢ | $25.58 | — | -$25.58 | 46% 2814-3341 (6155) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $13.95 | $15 | +$1.05 | 47% 2089-2333 (4422) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $9.2 | $10 | +$0.8 | 44% 2099-2693 (4792) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $9.15 | $15 | +$5.85 | 54% 2350-2009 (4359) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $4.44 | $5.48 | +$1.04 | 71% 1607-666 (2273) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 33% 1045-2151 (3196) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $4.55 | $5.06 | +$0.51 | 50% 2427-2459 (4886) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $3.65 | $5.37 | +$1.72 | 67% 3426-1692 (5118) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.7¢ | $17.89 | — | -$1.16 | 63% 4035-2416 (6451) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1.34 | — | -$1.34 | 59% 3720-2542 (6262) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $0.81 | — | -$0.81 | 38% 650-1068 (1718) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.9¢ | $62.91 | — | -$62.91 | 49% 2276-2326 (4602) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.2¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 38% 1439-2312 (3751) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $12.8 | — | -$12.8 | 47% 176-201 (377) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.5¢ | $8.85 | — | -$8.85 | 52% 2212-2063 (4275) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
61%
473-305 (778)
Invested
$738.12
Value
$753.66
PnL
+$15.54
Record
98%
3774-79 (3853)
Invested
$750
Value
$750
PnL
+$20.09
Record
52%
3418-3216 (6634)
Invested
$506.4
Value
$500
PnL
+$6.7
Record
54%
3546-3013 (6559)
Invested
$117.49
Value
$122.95
PnL
+$5.46
Record
50%
4444-4507 (8951)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$22.43
Value
$26
PnL
+$3.57
Record
52%
2695-2461 (5156)
Invested
$32.1
Value
$20.16
PnL
-$11.94
Record
47%
2188-2425 (4613)
Invested
$25.58
Value
—
PnL
-$25.58
Record
46%
2814-3341 (6155)
ohioism<$100Invested
$13.95
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.05
Record
47%
2089-2333 (4422)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$9.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.8
Record
44%
2099-2693 (4792)
Invested
$9.15
Value
$15
PnL
+$5.85
Record
54%
2350-2009 (4359)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$4.44
Value
$5.48
PnL
+$1.04
Record
71%
1607-666 (2273)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
33%
1045-2151 (3196)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$0.51
Record
50%
2427-2459 (4886)
Invested
$3.65
Value
$5.37
PnL
+$1.72
Record
67%
3426-1692 (5118)
Invested
$17.89
Value
—
PnL
-$1.16
Record
63%
4035-2416 (6451)
Invested
$1.34
Value
—
PnL
-$1.34
Record
59%
3720-2542 (6262)
Invested
$0.81
Value
—
PnL
-$0.81
Record
38%
650-1068 (1718)
Invested
$62.91
Value
—
PnL
-$62.91
Record
49%
2276-2326 (4602)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
38%
1439-2312 (3751)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$12.8
Value
—
PnL
-$12.8
Record
47%
176-201 (377)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$8.85
Value
—
PnL
-$8.85
Record
52%
2212-2063 (4275)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $753.66
soswald1
Down — $750
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
asdcaxz
Down — $122.95
MayorMamdani
Down — $26
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $20.16
suntori
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
Down — $15
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $10