Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 63%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.8K

Combined PnL

$-1.4K

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 19 top traders (63%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,723

Combined PnL$-1.5K

Up7 traders

Total Value$339.28

Total Shares339

Combined PnL+$70

Down — 63%Up — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.4K	61% 473-305 (778)
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$750	$705	-$17.3	52% 3418-3216 (6634)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$352.5	$705	+$357.7
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$375	—	-$375
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.2¢	$507.84	$496.09	+$1.44	54% 3546-3013 (6559)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.2¢	$249.02	$496.09	+$247.87
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.8¢	$245.8	—	-$246.43
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Upavg 79.4¢	$347.92	$281.12	-$55.7	50% 4444-4507 (8951)
└ Up leg	Upavg 79.4¢	$223.15	$281.12	+$59.55
└ Down leg	Downavg 39.8¢	$115.25	—	-$115.25
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 55.3¢	$94.57	$171.17	+$76.6	51% 1914-1874 (3788)
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 84.9¢	$106.17	$58.29	-$7.15	54% 2350-2009 (4359)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 13.6¢	$10.78	—	-$10.78	44% 2099-2693 (4792)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 85.9¢	$40.28	$39	-$1.28	63% 4035-2416 (6451)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 63.9¢	$24.77	$26.32	+$1.55	47% 1495-1717 (3212)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 22.6¢	$12.09	—	-$12.09	52% 2212-2063 (4275)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Downavg 48¢	$16.8	—	-$16.8	48% 1266-1353 (2619)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 77.6¢	$17.85	$16	-$1.85	52% 2695-2461 (5156)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 71¢	$17.15	$15	-$2.15	48% 2150-2369 (4519)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Upavg 52¢	$9.22	$13.51	+$4.29	38% 650-1068 (1718)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 10.9¢	$2.84	—	-$2.84	38% 1439-2312 (3751)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 20.8¢	$5.4	—	-$5.4	50% 2427-2459 (4886)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 33.5¢	$9.99	—	-$9.99	37% 1362-2297 (3659)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 17.9¢	$5.05	—	-$5.05	67% 3426-1692 (5118)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 39¢	$2.97	—	-$2.97	47% 2089-2333 (4422)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 13.5¢	$1.49	—	-$1.49	47% 2188-2425 (4613)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 29¢	$3.71	—	-$3.71	59% 3720-2542 (6262)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 23¢	$1.15	—	-$1.15	65% 2432-1333 (3765)