Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 76%
$2.6K
-$11.77
Smart Money Signal
16 of 21 top traders (76%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$1.36 | 61% 482-308 (790) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $501.7 | $502.88 | +$3.48 | 54% 3579-3041 (6620) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $174.24 | $176 | +$1.76 | 98% 3813-79 (3892) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 80.7¢ | $209.49 | $130.98 | -$54.63 | 50% 4458-4532 (8990) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $64.35 | $65 | +$0.65 | 51% 1919-1881 (3800) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 71.8¢ | $43.83 | $46.52 | +$4.14 | 52% 3445-3233 (6678) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 65.4¢ | $76.82 | $41 | +$3.41 | 52% 2228-2078 (4306) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $18.8 | $39.99 | +$21.2 | 48% 1276-1362 (2638) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $40.46 | $35.63 | +$2.78 | 48% 2164-2388 (4552) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 69.2¢ | $28.37 | $32.43 | +$4.06 | 47% 2202-2452 (4654) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $14.83 | $24.33 | +$9.5 | 54% 2366-2025 (4391) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $9.8 | $20 | +$10.2 | 50% 823-817 (1640) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 84.9¢ | $26.14 | $16.21 | +$0.03 | 63% 4066-2434 (6500) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 56.4¢ | $10.26 | $15.3 | +$5.04 | 47% 1504-1730 (3234) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83.1¢ | $12.21 | $11.13 | -$1.08 | 67% 3450-1707 (5157) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $7.51 | $5 | -$2.51 | 52% 2715-2472 (5187) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.5¢ | $7.13 | — | -$7.13 | 38% 659-1077 (1736) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $6.23 | — | -$6.23 | 44% 2109-2719 (4828) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.4¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 50% 2442-2474 (4916) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 38% 1448-2335 (3783) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $4.67 | — | -$4.67 | 46% 2830-3355 (6185) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$1.36
Record
61%
482-308 (790)
Invested
$501.7
Value
$502.88
PnL
+$3.48
Record
54%
3579-3041 (6620)
Invested
$174.24
Value
$176
PnL
+$1.76
Record
98%
3813-79 (3892)
Invested
$209.49
Value
$130.98
PnL
-$54.63
Record
50%
4458-4532 (8990)
Invested
$64.35
Value
$65
PnL
+$0.65
Record
51%
1919-1881 (3800)
Invested
$43.83
Value
$46.52
PnL
+$4.14
Record
52%
3445-3233 (6678)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$76.82
Value
$41
PnL
+$3.41
Record
52%
2228-2078 (4306)
Invested
$18.8
Value
$39.99
PnL
+$21.2
Record
48%
1276-1362 (2638)
Invested
$40.46
Value
$35.63
PnL
+$2.78
Record
48%
2164-2388 (4552)
Invested
$28.37
Value
$32.43
PnL
+$4.06
Record
47%
2202-2452 (4654)
Invested
$14.83
Value
$24.33
PnL
+$9.5
Record
54%
2366-2025 (4391)
Invested
$9.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.2
Record
50%
823-817 (1640)
Invested
$26.14
Value
$16.21
PnL
+$0.03
Record
63%
4066-2434 (6500)
Invested
$10.26
Value
$15.3
PnL
+$5.04
Record
47%
1504-1730 (3234)
Invested
$12.21
Value
$11.13
PnL
-$1.08
Record
67%
3450-1707 (5157)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.51
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.51
Record
52%
2715-2472 (5187)
Invested
$7.13
Value
—
PnL
-$7.13
Record
38%
659-1077 (1736)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$6.23
Value
—
PnL
-$6.23
Record
44%
2109-2719 (4828)
Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
50%
2442-2474 (4916)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
38%
1448-2335 (3783)
Invested
$4.67
Value
—
PnL
-$4.67
Record
46%
2830-3355 (6185)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
Down — $502.88
hoodquant
Down — $176
asdcaxz
Down — $130.98
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $65
soswald1
Down — $46.52
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $41
PBot-5
Down — $39.99
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $35.63
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $32.43