Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 61%

5 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$88.65

Smart Money Signal

Down

11 of 19 top traders (58%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$161.07

Total Shares161

Combined PnL+$28.63

Down11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares839

Combined PnL-$117.28

Up — 42%Down — 58%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$5.84	61% 473-305 (778)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$701.28	$1.4K	+$728.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$704.93	—	-$722.56
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.8¢	$508.88	$490	-$10.3	54% 3546-3013 (6559)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$245.7
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.8¢	$253.91	—	-$256
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Upavg 77.1¢	$160.46	$105	-$10.03	52% 2212-2063 (4275)
└ Up leg	Upavg 77.1¢	$80.93	$105	+$19.49
└ Down leg	Downavg 32.2¢	$34.7	—	-$29.52
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Upavg 59.4¢	$70.18	$70.94	+$0.76	50% 4444-4507 (8951)
└ Down leg	Downavg 20.8¢	$28.03	—	-$28.03
└ Up leg	Upavg 59.4¢	$42.15	$70.94	+$28.79
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 70.9¢	$43.49	$40.21	-$3.28	52% 3418-3216 (6634)
└ Down leg	Downavg 16.3¢	$14.99	—	-$14.99
└ Up leg	Upavg 70.9¢	$28.5	$40.21	+$11.71
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 60.6¢	$34.51	$43.96	+$9.45	54% 2350-2009 (4359)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 59.6¢	$30.78	$37.99	+$7.21	47% 1495-1717 (3212)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Downavg 47.1¢	$23.07	—	-$23.07	48% 1266-1353 (2619)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Upavg 69.4¢	$15.35	$22.12	+$6.77	38% 650-1068 (1718)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 66.4¢	$33.55	$24	+$6.66	63% 4035-2416 (6451)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 90¢	$15.31	$14	-$1.31	38% 1439-2312 (3751)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 46.6¢	$14.2	—	-$14.2	50% 817-809 (1626)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$6.98	—	-$6.98	52% 1395-1293 (2688)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 99¢	$14.94	$14	-$0.94	67% 3426-1692 (5118)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 21.4¢	$9.87	—	-$9.87	47% 2089-2333 (4422)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 64¢	$4.52	$5	+$0.48	48% 2150-2369 (4519)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 4.9¢	$4.11	—	-$4.11	33% 1045-2151 (3196)
BoneOhioCTR<$100	Downavg 32.5¢	$5.1	—	-$5.1	71% 1607-666 (2273)
AL almachCTR<$100	Downavg 40¢	$4.65	—	-$4.65	51% 1428-1364 (2792)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 5.5¢	$2.81	—	-$2.81	52% 2695-2461 (5156)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 14¢	$1.45	—	-$1.45	50% 2427-2459 (4886)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 14.9¢	$43.17	—	-$43.17	44% 2099-2693 (4792)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 9¢	$1.89	—	-$1.89	47% 2188-2425 (4613)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 63¢	$18.9	—	+$0.3	59% 3720-2542 (6262)