Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 68%
1 arb excluded
$1.9K
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
17 of 25 top traders (68%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 61% 473-305 (778) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 70.3¢ | $499.71 | $710.46 | +$210.76 | 49% 2276-2326 (4602) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $504.91 | $500 | +$8.08 | 54% 3546-3013 (6559) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.9¢ | $249.61 | $500 | +$253 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $245.32 | — | -$244.92 | |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 77¢ | $150.74 | $144.51 | -$6.23 | 50% 4444-4507 (8951) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.4¢ | $117.15 | $119.02 | +$1.87 | 98% 3774-79 (3853) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 65.9¢ | $48.29 | $69.99 | +$21.7 | 47% 2089-2333 (4422) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $51.77 | $51.3 | -$0.47 | 67% 3426-1692 (5118) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $49.9 | — | -$49.9 | 47% 176-201 (377) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 71.9¢ | $124.9 | $47 | -$8.76 | 52% 2212-2063 (4275) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 60.9¢ | $42.57 | $50.22 | +$7.65 | 54% 2350-2009 (4359) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 54.8¢ | $43.26 | $79 | +$35.74 | 48% 1266-1353 (2619) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 74.2¢ | $45.56 | $37 | -$8.56 | 48% 2150-2369 (4519) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 61.9¢ | $32.52 | $52.52 | +$20 | 47% 2188-2425 (4613) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 64.6¢ | $16.2 | $25.07 | +$8.87 | 52% 3418-3216 (6634) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $5.66 | $10 | +$4.34 | 52% 2695-2461 (5156) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $6.3 | $5.34 | -$0.96 | 50% 2427-2459 (4886) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $6.48 | $12 | +$5.52 | 58% 5007-3677 (8684) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $3.81 | — | -$3.81 | 47% 1495-1717 (3212) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $5.35 | $5.41 | +$0.06 | 65% 2432-1333 (3765) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $8.2 | — | -$8.2 | 38% 650-1068 (1718) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $4.58 | $6 | +$1.42 | 42% 1702-2303 (4005) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $9.22 | $3 | +$1.13 | 63% 4035-2416 (6451) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 33% 1045-2151 (3196) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1362-2297 (3659) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.9¢ | $6.15 | — | -$6.15 | 38% 1439-2312 (3751) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
61%
473-305 (778)
Invested
$499.71
Value
$710.46
PnL
+$210.76
Record
49%
2276-2326 (4602)
Invested
$504.91
Value
$500
PnL
+$8.08
Record
54%
3546-3013 (6559)
Both legs:
Invested
$150.74
Value
$144.51
PnL
-$6.23
Record
50%
4444-4507 (8951)
Invested
$117.15
Value
$119.02
PnL
+$1.87
Record
98%
3774-79 (3853)
ohioism<$100Invested
$48.29
Value
$69.99
PnL
+$21.7
Record
47%
2089-2333 (4422)
Invested
$51.77
Value
$51.3
PnL
-$0.47
Record
67%
3426-1692 (5118)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.9
Value
—
PnL
-$49.9
Record
47%
176-201 (377)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$124.9
Value
$47
PnL
-$8.76
Record
52%
2212-2063 (4275)
Invested
$42.57
Value
$50.22
PnL
+$7.65
Record
54%
2350-2009 (4359)
Invested
$43.26
Value
$79
PnL
+$35.74
Record
48%
1266-1353 (2619)
Invested
$45.56
Value
$37
PnL
-$8.56
Record
48%
2150-2369 (4519)
Invested
$32.52
Value
$52.52
PnL
+$20
Record
47%
2188-2425 (4613)
Invested
$16.2
Value
$25.07
PnL
+$8.87
Record
52%
3418-3216 (6634)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$5.66
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.34
Record
52%
2695-2461 (5156)
Invested
$6.3
Value
$5.34
PnL
-$0.96
Record
50%
2427-2459 (4886)
Invested
$6.48
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.52
Record
58%
5007-3677 (8684)
Invested
$3.81
Value
—
PnL
-$3.81
Record
47%
1495-1717 (3212)
Invested
$5.35
Value
$5.41
PnL
+$0.06
Record
65%
2432-1333 (3765)
Invested
$8.2
Value
—
PnL
-$8.2
Record
38%
650-1068 (1718)
Invested
$4.58
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.42
Record
42%
1702-2303 (4005)
Invested
$9.22
Value
$3
PnL
+$1.13
Record
63%
4035-2416 (6451)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
33%
1045-2151 (3196)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1362-2297 (3659)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.15
Value
—
PnL
-$6.15
Record
38%
1439-2312 (3751)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $710.46
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
Down — $144.51
hoodquant
Down — $119.02
ohioism
Down — $69.99
asdaefef
Down — $51.3
wowitsamazing
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $47
ply-pm2
Down — $50.22