Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 42%
6 arb excluded
$5.0K
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 25 top traders (44%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed14 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$9.54 | 61% 473-305 (778) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $687.65 | $1.4K | +$689.95 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $698.47 | — | -$699.49 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.9K | $1.9K | +$19.03 | 98% 3774-79 (3853) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 44.7¢ | $1.3K | — | $-1.3K | 49% 2276-2326 (4602) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $505.01 | $497.29 | +$9.35 | 54% 3546-3013 (6559) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49¢ | $243.6 | $497.29 | +$257.81 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $248.41 | — | -$248.45 | |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Downavg 68.8¢ | $314.89 | $340.54 | +$25.65 | 50% 4444-4507 (8951) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 68.8¢ | $210.72 | — | -$210.72 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 30.6¢ | $104.17 | $340.54 | +$236.37 | |
 Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Downavg 55.7¢ | $249.47 | $237.23 | -$8.17 | 52% 2212-2063 (4275) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 55.7¢ | $129.55 | — | -$128.26 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.4¢ | $117.14 | $237.23 | +$120.1 | |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 65.3¢ | $203.29 | $183.62 | -$18.91 | 52% 3418-3216 (6634) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 45.1¢ | $93.06 | $113.4 | +$20.34 | 54% 2350-2009 (4359) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 17.5¢ | $41.92 | — | -$41.92 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 45.1¢ | $51.13 | $113.4 | +$62.26 | |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 92.8¢ | $76.2 | $82.11 | +$5.91 | 49% 1545-1582 (3127) |
RA rabadabadooARB<$100 | Upavg 63.2¢ | $75.53 | $71.36 | -$4.17 | 47% 1495-1717 (3212) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 63.2¢ | $45.13 | $71.36 | +$26.23 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 40.8¢ | $30.4 | — | -$30.4 | |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 53.6¢ | $42.72 | — | -$42.72 | 48% 2150-2369 (4519) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 81.3¢ | $86.76 | — | -$62.16 | 59% 3720-2542 (6262) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $33.95 | — | -$33.95 | 48% 1266-1353 (2619) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 65.9¢ | $32.72 | — | -$32.72 | 47% 2188-2425 (4613) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 17.1¢ | $15.8 | $65 | +$49.2 | 44% 2099-2693 (4792) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 89.1¢ | $25.22 | — | -$25.22 | 38% 1439-2312 (3751) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.8¢ | $21.72 | — | -$16.77 | 50% 2427-2459 (4886) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.5¢ | $19.89 | — | -$19.89 | 50% 817-809 (1626) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 50.6¢ | $10 | $19.76 | +$9.76 | 47% 176-201 (377) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 63.8¢ | $11.59 | — | -$10.77 | 63% 4035-2416 (6451) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 43.4¢ | $23.43 | $54 | +$30.57 | 47% 2089-2333 (4422) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $7.7 | — | -$7.7 | 67% 3426-1692 (5118) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 54.1¢ | $10.26 | $18.96 | +$8.7 | 38% 650-1068 (1718) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 89.6¢ | $11.65 | — | -$11.65 | 52% 2695-2461 (5156) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $5.04 | $12 | +$6.96 | 58% 5007-3677 (8684) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$9.54
Record
61%
473-305 (778)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,883.97
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$19.03
Record
98%
3774-79 (3853)
Invested
$1,320.34
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
49%
2276-2326 (4602)
Invested
$505.01
Value
$497.29
PnL
+$9.35
Record
54%
3546-3013 (6559)
Both legs:
Invested
$314.89
Value
$340.54
PnL
+$25.65
Record
50%
4444-4507 (8951)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$249.47
Value
$237.23
PnL
-$8.17
Record
52%
2212-2063 (4275)
Both legs:
Invested
$203.29
Value
$183.62
PnL
-$18.91
Record
52%
3418-3216 (6634)
Invested
$93.06
Value
$113.4
PnL
+$20.34
Record
54%
2350-2009 (4359)
Both legs:
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$76.2
Value
$82.11
PnL
+$5.91
Record
49%
1545-1582 (3127)
Invested
$75.53
Value
$71.36
PnL
-$4.17
Record
47%
1495-1717 (3212)
Both legs:
Invested
$42.72
Value
—
PnL
-$42.72
Record
48%
2150-2369 (4519)
Invested
$86.76
Value
—
PnL
-$62.16
Record
59%
3720-2542 (6262)
Invested
$33.95
Value
—
PnL
-$33.95
Record
48%
1266-1353 (2619)
Invested
$32.72
Value
—
PnL
-$32.72
Record
47%
2188-2425 (4613)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$15.8
Value
$65
PnL
+$49.2
Record
44%
2099-2693 (4792)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$25.22
Value
—
PnL
-$25.22
Record
38%
1439-2312 (3751)
Invested
$21.72
Value
—
PnL
-$16.77
Record
50%
2427-2459 (4886)
Invested
$19.89
Value
—
PnL
-$19.89
Record
50%
817-809 (1626)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$10
Value
$19.76
PnL
+$9.76
Record
47%
176-201 (377)
Invested
$11.59
Value
—
PnL
-$10.77
Record
63%
4035-2416 (6451)
ohioism<$100Invested
$23.43
Value
$54
PnL
+$30.57
Record
47%
2089-2333 (4422)
Invested
$7.7
Value
—
PnL
-$7.7
Record
67%
3426-1692 (5118)
Invested
$10.26
Value
$18.96
PnL
+$8.7
Record
38%
650-1068 (1718)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$11.65
Value
—
PnL
-$11.65
Record
52%
2695-2461 (5156)
Invested
$5.04
Value
$12
PnL
+$6.96
Record
58%
5007-3677 (8684)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $1.9K
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Up — $183.62
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
cryingbabydicer87
Up — $82.11
rabadabadoo
ARBArbitrage — excluded