Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 55%

Total Value

$2.4K

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Smart Money Signal

Down

13 of 23 top traders (57%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,791

Combined PnL$-1.4K

Down13 traders

Total Value$2.4K

Total Shares2,367

Combined PnL+$184.07

Up — 43%Down — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.3K	61% 466-302 (768)
SO soswald1	Downavg 50¢	$750	$725.82	-$9.66	51% 3392-3202 (6594)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	54% 3514-2992 (6506)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.8¢	$491.83	$497.96	+$6.13	98% 3730-79 (3809)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 52.9¢	$205.44	$368.22	+$174.48	50% 2267-2294 (4561)
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 88.8¢	$111.81	$85.76	-$26.05	50% 4423-4495 (8918)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 66.4¢	$62.81	$80.42	+$17.61	51% 3173-3101 (6274)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 95¢	$38	$40	+$2	48% 2136-2349 (4485)
PB PBot-5<$100	Downavg 47¢	$16.45	$35	+$18.55	48% 1258-1344 (2602)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 96.4¢	$13.65	$13	-$0.65	65% 2417-1324 (3741)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 94¢	$10.11	$10.76	+$0.65	59% 3698-2531 (6229)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Upavg 34.4¢	$11.55	—	-$11.55	38% 641-1057 (1698)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 86¢	$6.5	$5	+$0.57	63% 4009-2399 (6408)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 96¢	$4.8	$5	+$0.2	50% 2409-2440 (4849)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 21¢	$7.08	—	-$7.08	54% 2335-1997 (4332)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 2¢	$0.34	—	-$0.34	33% 1042-2138 (3180)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 31.7¢	$29.87	—	-$20.17	52% 2196-2051 (4247)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 26¢	$1.4	—	-$1.4	67% 3403-1682 (5085)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 6¢	$0.3	—	-$0.3	52% 2682-2447 (5129)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 5.2¢	$8.45	—	-$8.45	42% 1686-2284 (3970)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$1.31	—	-$1.31	38% 1429-2293 (3722)
SU suntori<$100	Downavg 94¢	$4.67	$0.01	+$0.25	46% 2762-3273 (6035)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 7.2¢	$1.09	—	-$1.09	47% 1485-1706 (3191)