Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 70%
3 arb excluded
$2.7K
-$238.24
Smart Money Signal
14 of 20 top traders (70%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$10.76 | 61% 466-302 (768) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $656.42 | $1.3K | +$711.87 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $652.11 | — | -$701.11 | |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.6¢ | $507.82 | $497.95 | -$1.95 | 54% 3514-2992 (6506) |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $236.75 | $227.6 | -$9.15 | 50% 4423-4495 (8918) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 78¢ | $177.55 | $227.6 | +$50.05 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 27.7¢ | $59.2 | — | -$59.2 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 69.4¢ | $157.35 | $167.66 | +$10.31 | 51% 3173-3101 (6274) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 82.2¢ | $103.62 | $101.3 | +$2.57 | 51% 3392-3202 (6594) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 75.7¢ | $102.67 | $90.23 | -$12.44 | 54% 2335-1997 (4332) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 75.7¢ | $68.33 | $90.23 | +$21.9 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 28.1¢ | $34.33 | — | -$34.33 | |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98.8¢ | $87.02 | $88.05 | +$1.03 | 98% 3730-79 (3809) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 83.2¢ | $42.36 | $48 | +$6.7 | 52% 2196-2051 (4247) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 87.7¢ | $33.8 | $38.54 | +$4.74 | 49% 1530-1579 (3109) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 53.2¢ | $38.5 | $38.04 | +$2.14 | 47% 1485-1706 (3191) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 80.8¢ | $36.95 | $28.31 | +$4.42 | 63% 4009-2399 (6408) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $16.85 | $20 | +$3.15 | 44% 2080-2676 (4756) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 25.3¢ | $263.5 | — | -$262.3 | 50% 2267-2294 (4561) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 80.1¢ | $16.94 | $17.42 | +$0.48 | 38% 1429-2293 (3722) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $13.2 | $20 | +$6.8 | 59% 3698-2531 (6229) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 76.5¢ | $10.05 | $10 | -$0.05 | 52% 2682-2447 (5129) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 31.5¢ | $8.9 | — | -$8.9 | 48% 2176-2405 (4581) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $3.55 | $5.25 | +$1.7 | 47% 2079-2312 (4391) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.3¢ | $4.1 | — | -$4.1 | 50% 2409-2440 (4849) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $1.86 | $2 | +$0.14 | 46% 2762-3273 (6035) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.3¢ | $2.74 | — | -$2.74 | 38% 641-1057 (1698) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 67% 3403-1682 (5085) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 65% 2417-1324 (3741) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$10.76
Record
61%
466-302 (768)
Both legs:
Invested
$507.82
Value
$497.95
PnL
-$1.95
Record
54%
3514-2992 (6506)
Invested
$236.75
Value
$227.6
PnL
-$9.15
Record
50%
4423-4495 (8918)
Both legs:
Invested
$157.35
Value
$167.66
PnL
+$10.31
Record
51%
3173-3101 (6274)
Invested
$103.62
Value
$101.3
PnL
+$2.57
Record
51%
3392-3202 (6594)
Invested
$102.67
Value
$90.23
PnL
-$12.44
Record
54%
2335-1997 (4332)
Both legs:
Invested
$87.02
Value
$88.05
PnL
+$1.03
Record
98%
3730-79 (3809)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$42.36
Value
$48
PnL
+$6.7
Record
52%
2196-2051 (4247)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$33.8
Value
$38.54
PnL
+$4.74
Record
49%
1530-1579 (3109)
Invested
$38.5
Value
$38.04
PnL
+$2.14
Record
47%
1485-1706 (3191)
Invested
$36.95
Value
$28.31
PnL
+$4.42
Record
63%
4009-2399 (6408)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$16.85
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.15
Record
44%
2080-2676 (4756)
Invested
$263.5
Value
—
PnL
-$262.3
Record
50%
2267-2294 (4561)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$16.94
Value
$17.42
PnL
+$0.48
Record
38%
1429-2293 (3722)
Invested
$13.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$6.8
Record
59%
3698-2531 (6229)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$10.05
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.05
Record
52%
2682-2447 (5129)
Invested
$8.9
Value
—
PnL
-$8.9
Record
48%
2176-2405 (4581)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.55
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$1.7
Record
47%
2079-2312 (4391)
Invested
$4.1
Value
—
PnL
-$4.1
Record
50%
2409-2440 (4849)
Invested
$1.86
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.14
Record
46%
2762-3273 (6035)
Invested
$2.74
Value
—
PnL
-$2.74
Record
38%
641-1057 (1698)
Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
67%
3403-1682 (5085)
Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
65%
2417-1324 (3741)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
Up — $497.95
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $167.66
soswald1
Up — $101.3
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $88.05
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $48
cryingbabydicer87
Up — $38.54
rabadabadoo
Up — $38.04