Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
20
Up 45%
$1.4K
$-1.9K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 20 top traders (45%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.2K | 61% 473-305 (778) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $730 | +$29.44 | 52% 3418-3216 (6634) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.3¢ | $504.21 | — | -$493.56 | 54% 3546-3013 (6559) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.5¢ | $236.62 | $240.2 | +$3.58 | 98% 3774-79 (3853) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 60.3¢ | $266.26 | $203.7 | -$25.48 | 49% 2276-2326 (4602) |
AS asdcaxzCTR | Upavg 51.4¢ | $214.92 | — | -$213.12 | 50% 4444-4507 (8951) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 73.9¢ | $95.77 | $66.39 | +$8.44 | 52% 2212-2063 (4275) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 81.8¢ | $39.9 | $31 | +$4.41 | 63% 4035-2416 (6451) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 61.4¢ | $24.8 | $29.69 | +$5.07 | 47% 1495-1717 (3212) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $12.76 | $25 | +$12.24 | 47% 2188-2425 (4613) |
SU suntori<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $24.6 | $22.69 | +$2.4 | 46% 2814-3341 (6155) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $8.77 | $21.38 | +$12.61 | 47% 2089-2333 (4422) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $9.96 | $10.24 | +$0.28 | 38% 1439-2312 (3751) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.7 | $10 | +$5.3 | 48% 2150-2369 (4519) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.3¢ | $8.29 | — | -$8.29 | 67% 3426-1692 (5118) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $14 | — | -$14 | 44% 2099-2693 (4792) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.3¢ | $6.05 | — | -$6.05 | 50% 2427-2459 (4886) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 65% 2432-1333 (3765) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 26.3¢ | $20.49 | — | +$4.51 | 54% 2350-2009 (4359) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.4 | 52% 2695-2461 (5156) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
61%
473-305 (778)
Invested
$750
Value
$730
PnL
+$29.44
Record
52%
3418-3216 (6634)
Invested
$504.21
Value
—
PnL
-$493.56
Record
54%
3546-3013 (6559)
Invested
$236.62
Value
$240.2
PnL
+$3.58
Record
98%
3774-79 (3853)
Invested
$266.26
Value
$203.7
PnL
-$25.48
Record
49%
2276-2326 (4602)
Invested
$214.92
Value
—
PnL
-$213.12
Record
50%
4444-4507 (8951)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$95.77
Value
$66.39
PnL
+$8.44
Record
52%
2212-2063 (4275)
Invested
$39.9
Value
$31
PnL
+$4.41
Record
63%
4035-2416 (6451)
Invested
$24.8
Value
$29.69
PnL
+$5.07
Record
47%
1495-1717 (3212)
Invested
$12.76
Value
$25
PnL
+$12.24
Record
47%
2188-2425 (4613)
Invested
$24.6
Value
$22.69
PnL
+$2.4
Record
46%
2814-3341 (6155)
ohioism<$100Invested
$8.77
Value
$21.38
PnL
+$12.61
Record
47%
2089-2333 (4422)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$9.96
Value
$10.24
PnL
+$0.28
Record
38%
1439-2312 (3751)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.3
Record
48%
2150-2369 (4519)
Invested
$8.29
Value
—
PnL
-$8.29
Record
67%
3426-1692 (5118)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$14
Value
—
PnL
-$14
Record
44%
2099-2693 (4792)
Invested
$6.05
Value
—
PnL
-$6.05
Record
50%
2427-2459 (4886)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
65%
2432-1333 (3765)
Invested
$20.49
Value
—
PnL
+$4.51
Record
54%
2350-2009 (4359)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
52%
2695-2461 (5156)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
Down — $730
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $240.2
uninformedfloww
Down — $203.7
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $66.39
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $31
rabadabadoo
Down — $29.69
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $25