Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 83%
2 arb excluded
$2.8K
-$196.79
Smart Money Signal
15 of 19 top traders (79%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | -$7.49 | 61% 466-302 (768) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $525.75 | $531.06 | +$5.31 | 98% 3730-79 (3809) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.7¢ | $504.36 | $500 | -$0.27 | 54% 3514-2992 (6506) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.7¢ | $250.94 | — | -$250.27 | |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 31.2¢ | $240.91 | — | -$230.86 | 50% 2267-2294 (4561) |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Upavg 65.5¢ | $176.46 | $167.67 | -$8.79 | 50% 4423-4495 (8918) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 65.5¢ | $109.9 | $167.67 | +$57.77 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 31¢ | $66.56 | — | -$66.56 | |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 71.5¢ | $82.56 | $63.48 | -$19.08 | 51% 3392-3202 (6594) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 76.8¢ | $64.19 | $59.28 | -$4.92 | 54% 2335-1997 (4332) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 36.4¢ | $24.01 | $44.23 | +$20.22 | 48% 2176-2405 (4581) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 17.3¢ | $7.77 | $31 | +$23.23 | 44% 2080-2676 (4756) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 27.8¢ | $11.14 | — | -$11.14 | 48% 2136-2349 (4485) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 22.8¢ | $10.52 | $24.65 | +$14.13 | 47% 1485-1706 (3191) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $16.45 | — | -$16.45 | 48% 1258-1344 (2602) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $10.87 | $16 | +$5.44 | 63% 4009-2399 (6408) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $13.39 | $15 | +$1.61 | 52% 2196-2051 (4247) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 30.7¢ | $5.97 | $12.03 | +$6.06 | 67% 3403-1682 (5085) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 52.9¢ | $12.04 | $19.26 | +$7.22 | 38% 1429-2293 (3722) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 32.5¢ | $4.6 | $10 | +$5.4 | 47% 2079-2312 (4391) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 45.8¢ | $4.58 | $9.99 | +$5.41 | 38% 641-1057 (1698) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $3.15 | $5 | +$1.85 | 50% 2409-2440 (4849) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $3.72 | $1.98 | -$1.62 | 46% 2762-3273 (6035) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $5.62 | — | -$1.12 | 59% 3698-2531 (6229) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$7.49
Record
61%
466-302 (768)
Invested
$525.75
Value
$531.06
PnL
+$5.31
Record
98%
3730-79 (3809)
Invested
$504.36
Value
$500
PnL
-$0.27
Record
54%
3514-2992 (6506)
Both legs:
Invested
$240.91
Value
—
PnL
-$230.86
Record
50%
2267-2294 (4561)
Invested
$176.46
Value
$167.67
PnL
-$8.79
Record
50%
4423-4495 (8918)
Both legs:
Invested
$82.56
Value
$63.48
PnL
-$19.08
Record
51%
3392-3202 (6594)
Invested
$64.19
Value
$59.28
PnL
-$4.92
Record
54%
2335-1997 (4332)
Invested
$24.01
Value
$44.23
PnL
+$20.22
Record
48%
2176-2405 (4581)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$7.77
Value
$31
PnL
+$23.23
Record
44%
2080-2676 (4756)
Invested
$11.14
Value
—
PnL
-$11.14
Record
48%
2136-2349 (4485)
Invested
$10.52
Value
$24.65
PnL
+$14.13
Record
47%
1485-1706 (3191)
Invested
$16.45
Value
—
PnL
-$16.45
Record
48%
1258-1344 (2602)
Invested
$10.87
Value
$16
PnL
+$5.44
Record
63%
4009-2399 (6408)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$13.39
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.61
Record
52%
2196-2051 (4247)
Invested
$5.97
Value
$12.03
PnL
+$6.06
Record
67%
3403-1682 (5085)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$12.04
Value
$19.26
PnL
+$7.22
Record
38%
1429-2293 (3722)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.4
Record
47%
2079-2312 (4391)
Invested
$4.58
Value
$9.99
PnL
+$5.41
Record
38%
641-1057 (1698)
Invested
$3.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.85
Record
50%
2409-2440 (4849)
Invested
$3.72
Value
$1.98
PnL
-$1.62
Record
46%
2762-3273 (6035)
Invested
$5.62
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
59%
3698-2531 (6229)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.3K
hoodquant
Up — $531.06
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Up — $63.48
ply-pm2
Up — $59.28
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $44.23
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $31
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0