Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
27
Down 63%
$708.84
$-2.7K
Smart Money Signal
17 of 27 top traders (63%)17 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.2K | 61% 466-302 (768) |
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$676.77 | 51% 3392-3202 (6594) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.9¢ | $506.19 | — | -$497.8 | 54% 3514-2992 (6506) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $308.92 | $312.04 | +$3.12 | 98% 3730-79 (3809) |
 wowitsamazing | Upavg 37.6¢ | $49.73 | $132.27 | +$82.54 | 47% 176-199 (375) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 64.9¢ | $129.09 | $123.89 | -$5.2 | 50% 4423-4495 (8918) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 79.5¢ | $77.48 | $55 | +$11.64 | 52% 2196-2051 (4247) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 64.1¢ | $42.23 | $33.69 | -$8.54 | 54% 2335-1997 (4332) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $14.52 | $19.94 | +$5.42 | 38% 641-1057 (1698) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 24.7¢ | $25.33 | — | -$25.33 | 48% 2136-2349 (4485) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 67.2¢ | $15.43 | $11.68 | -$3.75 | 47% 1485-1706 (3191) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $12.91 | $12 | -$0.87 | 63% 4009-2399 (6408) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.6¢ | $57.01 | — | -$25.73 | 44% 2080-2676 (4756) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $3.91 | $5 | +$1.09 | 52% 2682-2447 (5129) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.9¢ | $3.39 | — | -$3.39 | 33% 1042-2138 (3180) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 16.9¢ | $6.67 | — | -$6.67 | 50% 2409-2440 (4849) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.4¢ | $2.64 | — | -$2.64 | 38% 1429-2293 (3722) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $3.76 | — | -$3.76 | 48% 1258-1344 (2602) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $4.48 | $3.33 | -$1.15 | 59% 3698-2531 (6229) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $4.17 | — | -$4.17 | 52% 1393-1291 (2684) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $2.46 | — | -$2.46 | 58% 4999-3667 (8666) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 47.5¢ | $256 | — | -$256 | 50% 2267-2294 (4561) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $2.64 | — | -$2.64 | 42% 1686-2284 (3970) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 65% 2417-1324 (3741) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $2.09 | — | -$2.09 | 67% 3403-1682 (5085) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
61%
466-302 (768)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$676.77
Record
51%
3392-3202 (6594)
Invested
$506.19
Value
—
PnL
-$497.8
Record
54%
3514-2992 (6506)
Invested
$308.92
Value
$312.04
PnL
+$3.12
Record
98%
3730-79 (3809)
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.73
Value
$132.27
PnL
+$82.54
Record
47%
176-199 (375)
Invested
$129.09
Value
$123.89
PnL
-$5.2
Record
50%
4423-4495 (8918)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$77.48
Value
$55
PnL
+$11.64
Record
52%
2196-2051 (4247)
Invested
$42.23
Value
$33.69
PnL
-$8.54
Record
54%
2335-1997 (4332)
Invested
$14.52
Value
$19.94
PnL
+$5.42
Record
38%
641-1057 (1698)
Invested
$25.33
Value
—
PnL
-$25.33
Record
48%
2136-2349 (4485)
Invested
$15.43
Value
$11.68
PnL
-$3.75
Record
47%
1485-1706 (3191)
Invested
$12.91
Value
$12
PnL
-$0.87
Record
63%
4009-2399 (6408)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$57.01
Value
—
PnL
-$25.73
Record
44%
2080-2676 (4756)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$3.91
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.09
Record
52%
2682-2447 (5129)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.39
Value
—
PnL
-$3.39
Record
33%
1042-2138 (3180)
Invested
$6.67
Value
—
PnL
-$6.67
Record
50%
2409-2440 (4849)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.64
Value
—
PnL
-$2.64
Record
38%
1429-2293 (3722)
Invested
$3.76
Value
—
PnL
-$3.76
Record
48%
1258-1344 (2602)
Invested
$4.48
Value
$3.33
PnL
-$1.15
Record
59%
3698-2531 (6229)
Invested
$4.17
Value
—
PnL
-$4.17
Record
52%
1393-1291 (2684)
Invested
$2.46
Value
—
PnL
-$2.46
Record
58%
4999-3667 (8666)
Invested
$256
Value
—
PnL
-$256
Record
50%
2267-2294 (4561)
Invested
$2.64
Value
—
PnL
-$2.64
Record
42%
1686-2284 (3970)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
65%
2417-1324 (3741)
Invested
$2.09
Value
—
PnL
-$2.09
Record
67%
3403-1682 (5085)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $312.04
wowitsamazing
Up — $132.27
asdcaxz
Up — $123.89
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $55
ply-pm2
Up — $33.69
flippingsharks
Up — $19.94
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0