Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 55%
$5.4K
$-1.9K
Smart Money Signal
16 of 29 top traders (55%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$30.08 | 52% 1393-1291 (2684) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.2K | 61% 466-302 (768) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$12.93 | 98% 3730-79 (3809) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 98.4¢ | $999.78 | $1.0K | +$16.72 | 71% 1595-654 (2249) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 48.5¢ | $502.25 | — | -$489.9 | 54% 3514-2992 (6506) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 78¢ | $103.55 | $90.19 | -$11.34 | 50% 4423-4495 (8918) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $74.69 | $45.93 | -$4.31 | 52% 2196-2051 (4247) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $42.45 | $40 | -$2.45 | 54% 2335-1997 (4332) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $35.93 | $38.06 | +$2.13 | 51% 3173-3101 (6274) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $29.4 | $30 | +$0.6 | 48% 2176-2405 (4581) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 93.7¢ | $16.86 | $18 | +$1.14 | 52% 2682-2447 (5129) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 46.9¢ | $16.43 | — | -$16.43 | 58% 4999-3667 (8666) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $21.9 | $20 | -$1.9 | 48% 2136-2349 (4485) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 95.7¢ | $19.15 | $20 | +$0.85 | 47% 2079-2312 (4391) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $10.77 | $11 | +$0.23 | 65% 2417-1324 (3741) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $10.93 | — | -$10.93 | 46% 2762-3273 (6035) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.7¢ | $1.21 | — | -$1.21 | 33% 1042-2138 (3180) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.8¢ | $4.95 | — | -$4.95 | 44% 2080-2676 (4756) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 61.7¢ | $5.88 | $6.52 | +$0.64 | 67% 3403-1682 (5085) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 50% 1907-1871 (3778) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $3.46 | $5.36 | +$1.9 | 47% 1485-1706 (3191) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $6.31 | $6 | -$0.31 | 50% 2409-2440 (4849) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $8.46 | $5 | -$0.78 | 63% 4009-2399 (6408) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 15.4¢ | $7.11 | — | -$7.11 | 51% 3392-3202 (6594) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 2.1¢ | $125.54 | — | -$125.54 | 50% 2267-2294 (4561) |
Invested
$2,977.93
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$30.08
Record
52%
1393-1291 (2684)
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
61%
466-302 (768)
Invested
$1,026.26
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$12.93
Record
98%
3730-79 (3809)
BoneOhioInvested
$999.78
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$16.72
Record
71%
1595-654 (2249)
Invested
$502.25
Value
—
PnL
-$489.9
Record
54%
3514-2992 (6506)
Invested
$103.55
Value
$90.19
PnL
-$11.34
Record
50%
4423-4495 (8918)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$74.69
Value
$45.93
PnL
-$4.31
Record
52%
2196-2051 (4247)
Invested
$42.45
Value
$40
PnL
-$2.45
Record
54%
2335-1997 (4332)
Invested
$35.93
Value
$38.06
PnL
+$2.13
Record
51%
3173-3101 (6274)
Invested
$29.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.6
Record
48%
2176-2405 (4581)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.86
Value
$18
PnL
+$1.14
Record
52%
2682-2447 (5129)
Invested
$16.43
Value
—
PnL
-$16.43
Record
58%
4999-3667 (8666)
Invested
$21.9
Value
$20
PnL
-$1.9
Record
48%
2136-2349 (4485)
ohioism<$100Invested
$19.15
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.85
Record
47%
2079-2312 (4391)
Invested
$10.77
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.23
Record
65%
2417-1324 (3741)
Invested
$10.93
Value
—
PnL
-$10.93
Record
46%
2762-3273 (6035)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.21
Value
—
PnL
-$1.21
Record
33%
1042-2138 (3180)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
—
PnL
-$4.95
Record
44%
2080-2676 (4756)
Invested
$5.88
Value
$6.52
PnL
+$0.64
Record
67%
3403-1682 (5085)
Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
50%
1907-1871 (3778)
Invested
$3.46
Value
$5.36
PnL
+$1.9
Record
47%
1485-1706 (3191)
Invested
$6.31
Value
$6
PnL
-$0.31
Record
50%
2409-2440 (4849)
Invested
$8.46
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.78
Record
63%
4009-2399 (6408)
Invested
$7.11
Value
—
PnL
-$7.11
Record
51%
3392-3202 (6594)
Invested
$125.54
Value
—
PnL
-$125.54
Record
50%
2267-2294 (4561)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $1.0K
BoneOhio
Down — $1.0K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
Down — $90.19
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $45.93
ply-pm2
Down — $40
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $38.06
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $30