Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 37% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
19
Up 37%
$1.2K
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
7 of 19 top traders (37%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 61% 466-302 (768) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $507.9 | $500 | +$1.8 | 54% 3514-2992 (6506) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $428.37 | $433.2 | +$4.83 | 98% 3730-79 (3809) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 44.5¢ | $27.9 | $56.18 | +$28.28 | 50% 4423-4495 (8918) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $24 | $50 | +$26 | 51% 972-925 (1897) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 54.8¢ | $22.15 | $25.09 | +$2.94 | 54% 2335-1997 (4332) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 96.2¢ | $34.87 | $20 | +$0.31 | 63% 4009-2399 (6408) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $17.81 | $19.79 | +$1.98 | 59% 3698-2531 (6229) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 96.7¢ | $42.05 | $16.86 | -$3.14 | 52% 2196-2051 (4247) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $9 | $20 | +$11 | 47% 2079-2312 (4391) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 58.6¢ | $9.56 | $14.68 | +$5.12 | 51% 3392-3202 (6594) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $10.83 | — | -$10.83 | 50% 1907-1871 (3778) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 20.1¢ | $13.2 | — | -$13.2 | 48% 2176-2405 (4581) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $14.43 | $3.17 | +$0.5 | 38% 1429-2293 (3722) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 12.9¢ | $2.91 | — | -$2.91 | 48% 2136-2349 (4485) |
SU suntori<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $1.86 | $2.04 | +$0.18 | 46% 2762-3273 (6035) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 44% 2080-2676 (4756) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.8¢ | $35.68 | — | -$35.68 | 50% 2267-2294 (4561) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.4¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 33% 1042-2138 (3180) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
61%
466-302 (768)
Invested
$507.9
Value
$500
PnL
+$1.8
Record
54%
3514-2992 (6506)
Invested
$428.37
Value
$433.2
PnL
+$4.83
Record
98%
3730-79 (3809)
Invested
$27.9
Value
$56.18
PnL
+$28.28
Record
50%
4423-4495 (8918)
Invested
$24
Value
$50
PnL
+$26
Record
51%
972-925 (1897)
Invested
$22.15
Value
$25.09
PnL
+$2.94
Record
54%
2335-1997 (4332)
Invested
$34.87
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.31
Record
63%
4009-2399 (6408)
Invested
$17.81
Value
$19.79
PnL
+$1.98
Record
59%
3698-2531 (6229)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$42.05
Value
$16.86
PnL
-$3.14
Record
52%
2196-2051 (4247)
ohioism<$100Invested
$9
Value
$20
PnL
+$11
Record
47%
2079-2312 (4391)
Invested
$9.56
Value
$14.68
PnL
+$5.12
Record
51%
3392-3202 (6594)
Invested
$10.83
Value
—
PnL
-$10.83
Record
50%
1907-1871 (3778)
Invested
$13.2
Value
—
PnL
-$13.2
Record
48%
2176-2405 (4581)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$14.43
Value
$3.17
PnL
+$0.5
Record
38%
1429-2293 (3722)
Invested
$2.91
Value
—
PnL
-$2.91
Record
48%
2136-2349 (4485)
Invested
$1.86
Value
$2.04
PnL
+$0.18
Record
46%
2762-3273 (6035)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
44%
2080-2676 (4756)
Invested
$35.68
Value
—
PnL
-$35.68
Record
50%
2267-2294 (4561)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
33%
1042-2138 (3180)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
hoodquant
Down — $433.2
asdcaxz
Down — $56.18
Little-big
Down — $50
ply-pm2
Down — $25.09
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $20
aaa221
Down — $19.79
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $16.86
ohioism
Down — $20