Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 58%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.2K

Combined PnL

-$247.66

Smart Money Signal

Down

11 of 20 top traders (55%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down11 traders

Total Value$1.0K

Total Shares1,047

Combined PnL-$83.56

Up9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares194

Combined PnL-$164.1

Down — 55%Up — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.3K	-$15.05	61% 466-302 (768)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$672.23	—	-$699.46
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$665.29	$1.3K	+$684.41
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$750	$740	+$23.1	51% 3392-3202 (6594)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$370	$740	+$371.45
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$336.94	—	-$348.35
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.6¢	$512.33	$505.13	+$7.78	54% 3514-2992 (6506)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 72.1¢	$550.84	$385.48	-$155.55	50% 2267-2294 (4561)
AS asdcaxzCTR	Upavg 63.7¢	$123.54	—	-$123.48	50% 4423-4495 (8918)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Downavg 61.9¢	$70.17	$72	+$1.83	51% 3173-3101 (6274)
└ Down leg	Downavg 61.9¢	$44.57	$72	+$27.43
└ Up leg	Upavg 43.3¢	$25.6	—	-$25.6
ohioism<$100	Downavg 31.6¢	$12.66	$40	+$27.34	47% 2079-2312 (4391)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 38.8¢	$27.01	—	-$27.01	47% 1485-1706 (3191)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$27.59	$27.87	+$0.28	98% 3730-79 (3809)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 52.3¢	$21.35	$15	+$8.5	52% 2196-2051 (4247)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 38.3¢	$7.65	$10.43	+$2.78	50% 2409-2440 (4849)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 65¢	$6.6	$10.15	+$3.55	63% 4009-2399 (6408)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 51.6¢	$8.89	$15.09	+$6.2	67% 3403-1682 (5085)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 65¢	$13	$20	+$7	59% 3698-2531 (6229)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 31¢	$6.96	—	-$6.96	52% 2682-2447 (5129)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 27.6¢	$4.23	—	-$4.23	44% 2080-2676 (4756)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 47.2¢	$4.15	$6.25	+$2.1	65% 2417-1324 (3741)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Downavg 46.3¢	$5.55	$12	+$6.45	58% 4999-3667 (8666)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 33¢	$3.08	—	-$3.08	46% 2762-3273 (6035)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 37¢	$1.85	—	-$1.85	48% 2176-2405 (4581)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 37¢	$1.85	—	-$1.85	48% 2136-2349 (4485)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1353-2279 (3632)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 19.8¢	$45.02	—	+$4.42	54% 2335-1997 (4332)