Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Down 43%
1 arb excluded
$2.5K
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 24 top traders (46%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 61% 460-295 (755) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $968.74 | $978.53 | +$9.79 | 98% 3678-79 (3757) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $750 | +$12.05 | 51% 3344-3190 (6534) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $507.59 | $500 | -$0.99 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.2¢ | $252.57 | — | -$250.99 | |
 wowitsamazing | Downavg 45.4¢ | $49.65 | $109.3 | +$59.65 | 47% 174-198 (372) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 56.8¢ | $32.91 | $31.22 | -$1.69 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 94.8¢ | $17.68 | $18.64 | +$0.96 | 67% 3366-1674 (5040) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $13.81 | $16.64 | +$2.83 | 59% 3675-2516 (6191) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.8¢ | $31.4 | — | -$16.82 | 52% 2184-2035 (4219) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $19.8 | — | -$19.8 | 48% 1242-1334 (2576) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $10.4 | $26 | +$15.6 | 58% 4990-3651 (8641) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $13 | — | -$13 | 47% 2060-2289 (4349) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.1¢ | $10.53 | — | -$10.53 | 52% 1380-1282 (2662) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $8.1 | — | -$8.1 | 54% 2316-1981 (4297) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.4¢ | $27.13 | — | -$27.13 | 50% 4397-4477 (8874) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $6.53 | $6 | -$0.53 | 47% 1475-1689 (3164) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.9¢ | $6.95 | — | -$6.95 | 48% 2157-2382 (4539) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $3.24 | $9 | +$5.76 | 51% 965-913 (1878) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.3¢ | $2.73 | — | -$2.73 | 38% 1410-2275 (3685) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $3.05 | $5 | +$1.95 | 62% 3967-2385 (6352) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 31.1¢ | $2.59 | — | -$2.59 | 38% 632-1052 (1684) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $2.16 | — | -$2.16 | 48% 2113-2329 (4442) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5.7¢ | $2.03 | — | -$2.03 | 33% 1029-2125 (3154) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $0.1 | $0.2 | +$0.1 | 50% 805-795 (1600) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 42.5¢ | $57.79 | — | -$57.79 | 50% 2249-2257 (4506) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
61%
460-295 (755)
Invested
$968.74
Value
$978.53
PnL
+$9.79
Record
98%
3678-79 (3757)
Invested
$750
Value
$750
PnL
+$12.05
Record
51%
3344-3190 (6534)
Invested
$507.59
Value
$500
PnL
-$0.99
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
Both legs:
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.65
Value
$109.3
PnL
+$59.65
Record
47%
174-198 (372)
Invested
$32.91
Value
$31.22
PnL
-$1.69
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
Invested
$17.68
Value
$18.64
PnL
+$0.96
Record
67%
3366-1674 (5040)
Invested
$13.81
Value
$16.64
PnL
+$2.83
Record
59%
3675-2516 (6191)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$31.4
Value
—
PnL
-$16.82
Record
52%
2184-2035 (4219)
Invested
$19.8
Value
—
PnL
-$19.8
Record
48%
1242-1334 (2576)
Invested
$10.4
Value
$26
PnL
+$15.6
Record
58%
4990-3651 (8641)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$13
Value
—
PnL
-$13
Record
47%
2060-2289 (4349)
Invested
$10.53
Value
—
PnL
-$10.53
Record
52%
1380-1282 (2662)
Invested
$8.1
Value
—
PnL
-$8.1
Record
54%
2316-1981 (4297)
Invested
$27.13
Value
—
PnL
-$27.13
Record
50%
4397-4477 (8874)
Invested
$6.53
Value
$6
PnL
-$0.53
Record
47%
1475-1689 (3164)
Invested
$6.95
Value
—
PnL
-$6.95
Record
48%
2157-2382 (4539)
Invested
$3.24
Value
$9
PnL
+$5.76
Record
51%
965-913 (1878)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.73
Value
—
PnL
-$2.73
Record
38%
1410-2275 (3685)
Invested
$3.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.95
Record
62%
3967-2385 (6352)
Invested
$2.59
Value
—
PnL
-$2.59
Record
38%
632-1052 (1684)
Invested
$2.16
Value
—
PnL
-$2.16
Record
48%
2113-2329 (4442)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.03
Value
—
PnL
-$2.03
Record
33%
1029-2125 (3154)
Invested
$0.1
Value
$0.2
PnL
+$0.1
Record
50%
805-795 (1600)
Invested
$57.79
Value
—
PnL
-$57.79
Record
50%
2249-2257 (4506)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $978.53
soswald1
Down — $750
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
wowitsamazing
Down — $109.3
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $31.22
asdaefef
Down — $18.64
aaa221
Down — $16.64
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
PBot-5
CTRUp — $0