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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

16

Up 50%

Total Value

$1.7K

Combined PnL

$-1.5K

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 16 top traders (50%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,842

Combined PnL$-1.5K

Up8 traders

Total Value$1.7K

Total Shares1,746

Combined PnL+$14.59

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.5K	61% 466-302 (768)
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$750	$745	+$4.7	51% 3392-3202 (6594)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50¢	$501.84	$500	-$0.1	54% 3514-2992 (6506)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$372.52	$376.28	+$3.76	98% 3730-79 (3809)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 78.3¢	$60.29	$56.58	-$3.71	50% 4423-4495 (8918)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 41.2¢	$64.55	—	-$40.7	52% 2196-2051 (4247)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 74.8¢	$25.75	$34.41	+$8.66	51% 3173-3101 (6274)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$1.35	—	-$1.35	33% 1042-2138 (3180)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 77.3¢	$18.08	$18	-$0.08	67% 3403-1682 (5085)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 89¢	$11.5	$11	-$0.14	63% 4009-2399 (6408)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.44	—	-$0.44	38% 1429-2293 (3722)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 32.7¢	$11.45	—	-$11.45	47% 2079-2312 (4391)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 10.3¢	$3.37	—	-$3.37	52% 2682-2447 (5129)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 70¢	$3.5	$5	+$1.5	71% 1595-654 (2249)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 28¢	$4.2	—	-$4.2	54% 2335-1997 (4332)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 23¢	$2.3	—	-$2.3	50% 2267-2294 (4561)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR

Invested

$1,500

Value

—

PnL

$-1.5K

Record

61%

466-302 (768)

Invested

$750

Value

$745

PnL

+$4.7

Record

51%

3392-3202 (6594)

Invested

$501.84

Value

$500

PnL

-$0.1

Record

54%

3514-2992 (6506)

Invested

$372.52

Value

$376.28

PnL

+$3.76

Record

98%

3730-79 (3809)

Invested

$60.29

Value

$56.58

PnL

-$3.71

Record

50%

4423-4495 (8918)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100

Invested

$64.55

Value

—

PnL

-$40.7

Record

52%

2196-2051 (4247)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$25.75

Value

$34.41

PnL

+$8.66

Record

51%

3173-3101 (6274)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

33%

1042-2138 (3180)

Invested

$18.08

Value

$18

PnL

-$0.08

Record

67%

3403-1682 (5085)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$11.5

Value

$11

PnL

-$0.14

Record

63%

4009-2399 (6408)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$0.44

Value

—

PnL

-$0.44

Record

38%

1429-2293 (3722)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$11.45

Value

—

PnL

-$11.45

Record

47%

2079-2312 (4391)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$3.37

Value

—

PnL

-$3.37

Record

52%

2682-2447 (5129)

Invested

$3.5

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.5

Record

71%

1595-654 (2249)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$4.2

Value

—

PnL

-$4.2

Record

54%

2335-1997 (4332)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$2.3

Value

—

PnL

-$2.3

Record

50%

2267-2294 (4561)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 16 top traders (50%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x9cb00b74...bb57be

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794685200

Traders in this Market

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Down — $0

soswald1

Up — $745

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

hoodquant

Up — $376.28

asdcaxz

Up — $56.58

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $34.41

pspspsps5

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $18

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $11

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