Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Up 57%
1 arb excluded
$3.4K
-$39.09
Smart Money Signal
13 of 24 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$1.99 | 61% 460-295 (755) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $742 | +$9.96 | 51% 3344-3190 (6534) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $501.55 | $490 | -$4.65 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.8¢ | $251.55 | — | -$251.55 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $245 | $490 | +$246.9 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $376.19 | $379.99 | +$3.8 | 98% 3678-79 (3757) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 80.2¢ | $81.88 | $91.35 | +$9.47 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $35.86 | $49.61 | +$13.98 | 50% 4397-4477 (8874) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $35.92 | $44.46 | +$8.54 | 44% 2059-2654 (4713) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $28.53 | — | -$28.53 | 48% 1242-1334 (2576) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 67.4¢ | $17.65 | $26.18 | +$8.53 | 38% 632-1052 (1684) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $14.71 | $16.91 | +$2.2 | 59% 3675-2516 (6191) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 61.8¢ | $15.25 | $13.74 | -$1.51 | 47% 1475-1689 (3164) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $11.7 | — | -$11.7 | 48% 2157-2382 (4539) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $10.39 | $11 | +$0.61 | 58% 4990-3651 (8641) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 51% 965-913 (1878) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $13.95 | — | -$13.95 | 48% 2113-2329 (4442) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $7.5 | — | -$7.5 | 71% 1584-646 (2230) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.6¢ | $73.81 | — | -$0.18 | 52% 2184-2035 (4219) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $4.95 | — | -$4.95 | 54% 2316-1981 (4297) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 50% 2392-2413 (4805) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $6.25 | $5 | +$0.35 | 62% 3967-2385 (6352) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $0.78 | — | -$0.78 | 52% 2655-2432 (5087) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 42% 1669-2262 (3931) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.4¢ | $31.46 | — | -$31.46 | 50% 2249-2257 (4506) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.1¢ | $2.51 | — | -$2.51 | 38% 1410-2275 (3685) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $0.25 | — | -$0.25 | 47% 2060-2289 (4349) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$1.99
Record
61%
460-295 (755)
Invested
$750
Value
$742
PnL
+$9.96
Record
51%
3344-3190 (6534)
Invested
$501.55
Value
$490
PnL
-$4.65
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
Both legs:
Invested
$376.19
Value
$379.99
PnL
+$3.8
Record
98%
3678-79 (3757)
Invested
$81.88
Value
$91.35
PnL
+$9.47
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
Invested
$35.86
Value
$49.61
PnL
+$13.98
Record
50%
4397-4477 (8874)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$35.92
Value
$44.46
PnL
+$8.54
Record
44%
2059-2654 (4713)
Invested
$28.53
Value
—
PnL
-$28.53
Record
48%
1242-1334 (2576)
Invested
$17.65
Value
$26.18
PnL
+$8.53
Record
38%
632-1052 (1684)
Invested
$14.71
Value
$16.91
PnL
+$2.2
Record
59%
3675-2516 (6191)
Invested
$15.25
Value
$13.74
PnL
-$1.51
Record
47%
1475-1689 (3164)
Invested
$11.7
Value
—
PnL
-$11.7
Record
48%
2157-2382 (4539)
Invested
$10.39
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.61
Record
58%
4990-3651 (8641)
Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
51%
965-913 (1878)
Invested
$13.95
Value
—
PnL
-$13.95
Record
48%
2113-2329 (4442)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$7.5
Value
—
PnL
-$7.5
Record
71%
1584-646 (2230)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$73.81
Value
—
PnL
-$0.18
Record
52%
2184-2035 (4219)
Invested
$4.95
Value
—
PnL
-$4.95
Record
54%
2316-1981 (4297)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
50%
2392-2413 (4805)
Invested
$6.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.35
Record
62%
3967-2385 (6352)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.78
Value
—
PnL
-$0.78
Record
52%
2655-2432 (5087)
Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
42%
1669-2262 (3931)
Invested
$31.46
Value
—
PnL
-$31.46
Record
50%
2249-2257 (4506)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.51
Value
—
PnL
-$2.51
Record
38%
1410-2275 (3685)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.25
Value
—
PnL
-$0.25
Record
47%
2060-2289 (4349)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.5K
soswald1
Up — $742
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $379.99
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $91.35
asdcaxz
Up — $49.61
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $44.46
PBot-5
CTRDown — $0
flippingsharks
Up — $26.18
aaa221
Up — $16.91