Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 60%
$2.5K
-$594.98
Smart Money Signal
13 of 21 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$4.3 | 61% 460-295 (755) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $751.1 | $717.13 | +$10.68 | 51% 3344-3190 (6534) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$498.68 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $155.43 | $157 | +$1.57 | 98% 3678-79 (3757) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 79.4¢ | $58.26 | $56.19 | -$2.07 | 54% 2316-1981 (4297) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 73.9¢ | $45.39 | $61 | +$15.61 | 50% 4397-4477 (8874) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $38 | $50 | +$12 | 44% 2059-2654 (4713) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $25.4 | $25 | -$0.4 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 87.1¢ | $21.25 | $22.12 | +$0.87 | 62% 3967-2385 (6352) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 83.7¢ | $16.51 | $15 | -$1.52 | 52% 2655-2432 (5087) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 78.9¢ | $11.52 | $11.93 | +$0.41 | 47% 1475-1689 (3164) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $7.97 | $8.65 | +$2.93 | 38% 1410-2275 (3685) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $7.62 | $6 | -$1.62 | 67% 3366-1674 (5040) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.4¢ | $14.05 | — | -$14.05 | 47% 2060-2289 (4349) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.2¢ | $2.98 | — | -$2.98 | 71% 1584-646 (2230) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 17.7¢ | $116.57 | — | -$116.57 | 50% 2249-2257 (4506) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.3¢ | $2.56 | — | -$2.56 | 48% 2157-2382 (4539) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.4¢ | $1.45 | — | -$1.45 | 50% 2392-2413 (4805) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 48% 2113-2329 (4442) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 33% 1029-2125 (3154) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $4.2 | — | +$0.4 | 52% 2184-2035 (4219) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$4.3
Record
61%
460-295 (755)
Invested
$751.1
Value
$717.13
PnL
+$10.68
Record
51%
3344-3190 (6534)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$498.68
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
Invested
$155.43
Value
$157
PnL
+$1.57
Record
98%
3678-79 (3757)
Invested
$58.26
Value
$56.19
PnL
-$2.07
Record
54%
2316-1981 (4297)
Invested
$45.39
Value
$61
PnL
+$15.61
Record
50%
4397-4477 (8874)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$38
Value
$50
PnL
+$12
Record
44%
2059-2654 (4713)
Invested
$25.4
Value
$25
PnL
-$0.4
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
Invested
$21.25
Value
$22.12
PnL
+$0.87
Record
62%
3967-2385 (6352)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.51
Value
$15
PnL
-$1.52
Record
52%
2655-2432 (5087)
Invested
$11.52
Value
$11.93
PnL
+$0.41
Record
47%
1475-1689 (3164)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$7.97
Value
$8.65
PnL
+$2.93
Record
38%
1410-2275 (3685)
Invested
$7.62
Value
$6
PnL
-$1.62
Record
67%
3366-1674 (5040)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$14.05
Value
—
PnL
-$14.05
Record
47%
2060-2289 (4349)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$2.98
Value
—
PnL
-$2.98
Record
71%
1584-646 (2230)
Invested
$116.57
Value
—
PnL
-$116.57
Record
50%
2249-2257 (4506)
Invested
$2.56
Value
—
PnL
-$2.56
Record
48%
2157-2382 (4539)
Invested
$1.45
Value
—
PnL
-$1.45
Record
50%
2392-2413 (4805)
Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
48%
2113-2329 (4442)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
33%
1029-2125 (3154)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
+$0.4
Record
52%
2184-2035 (4219)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
soswald1
Down — $717.13
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $157
ply-pm2
Down — $56.19
asdcaxz
Down — $61
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $50
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $25
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $22.12
MayorMamdani
Down — $15