Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 61%
$3.2K
-$142.8
Smart Money Signal
14 of 23 top traders (61%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.2K | +$3.09 | 61% 454-291 (745) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $660.16 | +$21.22 | 51% 3318-3179 (6497) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.4¢ | $520.77 | $495.02 | -$5.79 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $313.51 | $317.63 | +$4.12 | 98% 3651-75 (3726) |
AS asdcaxzCTR | Upavg 39.3¢ | $166.28 | — | -$152.85 | 50% 4383-4460 (8843) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 49.4¢ | $139.16 | $265.05 | +$125.89 | 50% 1880-1856 (3736) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 17.1¢ | $288.97 | — | -$137.59 | 50% 2231-2229 (4460) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 82.8¢ | $63.02 | $60 | -$3.02 | 54% 2295-1973 (4268) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 64.2¢ | $74.93 | $53.77 | -$1.46 | 52% 2174-2029 (4203) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 47.2¢ | $22.77 | $33 | +$10.23 | 47% 2042-2277 (4319) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $39.32 | $44 | +$4.68 | 52% 2630-2425 (5055) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 47.9¢ | $10.74 | $19.36 | +$8.62 | 46% 1461-1683 (3144) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 55.7¢ | $10.83 | $16.74 | +$6.45 | 38% 1393-2264 (3657) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $16.82 | — | -$16.82 | 58% 4982-3643 (8625) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $11.4 | $15 | +$3.6 | 44% 2041-2641 (4682) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 46.2¢ | $12.01 | $26 | +$13.99 | 48% 1230-1322 (2552) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 30.2¢ | $11.62 | — | -$11.62 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $6.95 | — | -$6.95 | 47% 2092-2317 (4409) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $5.28 | — | -$5.28 | 60% 1005-684 (1689) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $3.4 | $5 | +$1.6 | 67% 3341-1667 (5008) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $2.34 | — | -$2.34 | 33% 1018-2114 (3132) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.3¢ | $1.72 | — | -$1.72 | 50% 2368-2397 (4765) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 15.9¢ | $33.75 | — | -$0.84 | 62% 3938-2372 (6310) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$3.09
Record
61%
454-291 (745)
Invested
$750
Value
$660.16
PnL
+$21.22
Record
51%
3318-3179 (6497)
Invested
$520.77
Value
$495.02
PnL
-$5.79
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
Invested
$313.51
Value
$317.63
PnL
+$4.12
Record
98%
3651-75 (3726)
Invested
$166.28
Value
—
PnL
-$152.85
Record
50%
4383-4460 (8843)
Invested
$139.16
Value
$265.05
PnL
+$125.89
Record
50%
1880-1856 (3736)
Invested
$288.97
Value
—
PnL
-$137.59
Record
50%
2231-2229 (4460)
Invested
$63.02
Value
$60
PnL
-$3.02
Record
54%
2295-1973 (4268)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$74.93
Value
$53.77
PnL
-$1.46
Record
52%
2174-2029 (4203)
ohioism<$100Invested
$22.77
Value
$33
PnL
+$10.23
Record
47%
2042-2277 (4319)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$39.32
Value
$44
PnL
+$4.68
Record
52%
2630-2425 (5055)
Invested
$10.74
Value
$19.36
PnL
+$8.62
Record
46%
1461-1683 (3144)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$10.83
Value
$16.74
PnL
+$6.45
Record
38%
1393-2264 (3657)
Invested
$16.82
Value
—
PnL
-$16.82
Record
58%
4982-3643 (8625)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$11.4
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.6
Record
44%
2041-2641 (4682)
Invested
$12.01
Value
$26
PnL
+$13.99
Record
48%
1230-1322 (2552)
Invested
$11.62
Value
—
PnL
-$11.62
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
Invested
$6.95
Value
—
PnL
-$6.95
Record
47%
2092-2317 (4409)
Invested
$5.28
Value
—
PnL
-$5.28
Record
60%
1005-684 (1689)
Invested
$3.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.6
Record
67%
3341-1667 (5008)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.34
Value
—
PnL
-$2.34
Record
33%
1018-2114 (3132)
Invested
$1.72
Value
—
PnL
-$1.72
Record
50%
2368-2397 (4765)
Invested
$33.75
Value
—
PnL
-$0.84
Record
62%
3938-2372 (6310)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.2K
soswald1
Down — $660.16
ByteBadger92
Down — $495.02
hoodquant
Down — $317.63
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $265.05
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $60
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $53.77
ohioism
Down — $33