Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 55%
1 arb excluded
$2.2K
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 20 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 61% 454-291 (745) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $730 | +$0.75 | 51% 3318-3179 (6497) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $690.35 | $697.88 | +$7.53 | 98% 3651-75 (3726) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $510.39 | $496.37 | -$2.25 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.7¢ | $246.66 | $496.37 | +$251.55 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.8¢ | $253.8 | — | -$253.8 | |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 72¢ | $129.92 | $134.18 | +$17.56 | 50% 4383-4460 (8843) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 60.5¢ | $46.87 | $45.57 | +$1.76 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 69.4¢ | $34.56 | $28 | -$3.71 | 54% 2295-1973 (4268) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.3¢ | $92.33 | — | -$13.53 | 52% 2174-2029 (4203) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 87.3¢ | $17.15 | $13.92 | -$3.23 | 38% 1393-2264 (3657) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $12.38 | $15 | +$2.62 | 52% 2630-2425 (5055) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 60.7¢ | $10.2 | $16.81 | +$6.61 | 37% 622-1041 (1663) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $7.55 | $10 | +$2.45 | 44% 2041-2641 (4682) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $5.7 | $10 | +$4.3 | 47% 2042-2277 (4319) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 20.7¢ | $12.31 | — | -$4.77 | 62% 3938-2372 (6310) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $3.38 | — | -$3.38 | 52% 1374-1272 (2646) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $13.67 | — | -$8.09 | 46% 1461-1683 (3144) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $4.68 | $6 | +$1.32 | 59% 3649-2497 (6146) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 33.5¢ | $3.35 | — | -$3.35 | 47% 2135-2370 (4505) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 24¢ | $111.97 | — | -$111.97 | 50% 2231-2229 (4460) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1340-2240 (3580) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $2.24 | — | -$2.24 | 47% 2092-2317 (4409) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
61%
454-291 (745)
Invested
$750
Value
$730
PnL
+$0.75
Record
51%
3318-3179 (6497)
Invested
$690.35
Value
$697.88
PnL
+$7.53
Record
98%
3651-75 (3726)
Invested
$510.39
Value
$496.37
PnL
-$2.25
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
Both legs:
Invested
$129.92
Value
$134.18
PnL
+$17.56
Record
50%
4383-4460 (8843)
Invested
$46.87
Value
$45.57
PnL
+$1.76
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
Invested
$34.56
Value
$28
PnL
-$3.71
Record
54%
2295-1973 (4268)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$92.33
Value
—
PnL
-$13.53
Record
52%
2174-2029 (4203)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$17.15
Value
$13.92
PnL
-$3.23
Record
38%
1393-2264 (3657)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$12.38
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.62
Record
52%
2630-2425 (5055)
Invested
$10.2
Value
$16.81
PnL
+$6.61
Record
37%
622-1041 (1663)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$7.55
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.45
Record
44%
2041-2641 (4682)
ohioism<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.3
Record
47%
2042-2277 (4319)
Invested
$12.31
Value
—
PnL
-$4.77
Record
62%
3938-2372 (6310)
Invested
$3.38
Value
—
PnL
-$3.38
Record
52%
1374-1272 (2646)
Invested
$13.67
Value
—
PnL
-$8.09
Record
46%
1461-1683 (3144)
Invested
$4.68
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.32
Record
59%
3649-2497 (6146)
Invested
$3.35
Value
—
PnL
-$3.35
Record
47%
2135-2370 (4505)
Invested
$111.97
Value
—
PnL
-$111.97
Record
50%
2231-2229 (4460)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1340-2240 (3580)
Invested
$2.24
Value
—
PnL
-$2.24
Record
47%
2092-2317 (4409)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $730
hoodquant
Up — $697.88
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
Up — $134.18
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $45.57
ply-pm2
Up — $28
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $13.92
MayorMamdani
Up — $15