Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 60%
2 arb excluded
$3.8K
$128.07
Smart Money Signal
15 of 25 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.2K | +$28.36 | 61% 454-291 (745) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $607.76 | $1.2K | +$654.98 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $602.31 | — | -$626.62 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $795.42 | $805 | +$9.58 | 98% 3651-75 (3726) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $516.04 | $498 | -$6.56 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.2¢ | $249.8 | $498 | +$246.44 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.2¢ | $251.18 | — | -$253 | |
SU suntori | Upavg 18.2¢ | $101.74 | $490.1 | +$406.48 | 46% 2702-3200 (5902) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 68.5¢ | $296.84 | $232.78 | -$28.56 | 50% 4383-4460 (8843) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 52.1¢ | $112.86 | $117.48 | +$5.62 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 62.1¢ | $53.7 | $70 | +$16.3 | 47% 2042-2277 (4319) |
 wowitsamazing | Upavg 40.8¢ | $49.4 | $121.15 | +$71.75 | 47% 173-196 (369) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $58.96 | — | -$58.96 | 54% 2295-1973 (4268) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 39.6¢ | $15.94 | $37.16 | +$21.22 | 44% 2041-2641 (4682) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 68.2¢ | $40.56 | $59.46 | +$18.9 | 59% 3649-2497 (6146) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 53.3¢ | $35.3 | $31 | -$0.8 | 47% 2092-2317 (4409) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 40.2¢ | $23.91 | $59.51 | +$35.6 | 51% 961-907 (1868) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $29.51 | $28.25 | -$1.26 | 38% 1393-2264 (3657) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.3¢ | $8.24 | — | -$8.24 | 52% 1374-1272 (2646) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 88.1¢ | $20.42 | $23 | +$2.58 | 52% 2630-2425 (5055) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 57.6¢ | $28.66 | — | -$28.66 | 47% 2135-2370 (4505) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 44.1¢ | $18.69 | — | -$18.69 | 46% 1461-1683 (3144) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 90.3¢ | $14.61 | $14.32 | -$0.29 | 50% 2368-2397 (4765) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 48.1¢ | $10.35 | $11.8 | +$3.6 | 62% 3938-2372 (6310) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.8¢ | $30.47 | — | -$15.82 | 52% 2174-2029 (4203) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $41.62 | — | -$34.66 | 51% 3318-3179 (6497) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $13.21 | — | -$13.21 | 58% 4982-3643 (8625) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $14.37 | — | -$4.18 | 71% 1579-644 (2223) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $5.86 | $5.19 | -$0.67 | 64% 2369-1311 (3680) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$28.36
Record
61%
454-291 (745)
Both legs:
Invested
$795.42
Value
$805
PnL
+$9.58
Record
98%
3651-75 (3726)
Invested
$516.04
Value
$498
PnL
-$6.56
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
Both legs:
Invested
$101.74
Value
$490.1
PnL
+$406.48
Record
46%
2702-3200 (5902)
Invested
$296.84
Value
$232.78
PnL
-$28.56
Record
50%
4383-4460 (8843)
Invested
$112.86
Value
$117.48
PnL
+$5.62
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
ohioism<$100Invested
$53.7
Value
$70
PnL
+$16.3
Record
47%
2042-2277 (4319)
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.4
Value
$121.15
PnL
+$71.75
Record
47%
173-196 (369)
Invested
$58.96
Value
—
PnL
-$58.96
Record
54%
2295-1973 (4268)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$15.94
Value
$37.16
PnL
+$21.22
Record
44%
2041-2641 (4682)
Invested
$40.56
Value
$59.46
PnL
+$18.9
Record
59%
3649-2497 (6146)
Invested
$35.3
Value
$31
PnL
-$0.8
Record
47%
2092-2317 (4409)
Invested
$23.91
Value
$59.51
PnL
+$35.6
Record
51%
961-907 (1868)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$29.51
Value
$28.25
PnL
-$1.26
Record
38%
1393-2264 (3657)
Invested
$8.24
Value
—
PnL
-$8.24
Record
52%
1374-1272 (2646)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$20.42
Value
$23
PnL
+$2.58
Record
52%
2630-2425 (5055)
Invested
$28.66
Value
—
PnL
-$28.66
Record
47%
2135-2370 (4505)
Invested
$18.69
Value
—
PnL
-$18.69
Record
46%
1461-1683 (3144)
Invested
$14.61
Value
$14.32
PnL
-$0.29
Record
50%
2368-2397 (4765)
Invested
$10.35
Value
$11.8
PnL
+$3.6
Record
62%
3938-2372 (6310)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$30.47
Value
—
PnL
-$15.82
Record
52%
2174-2029 (4203)
Invested
$41.62
Value
—
PnL
-$34.66
Record
51%
3318-3179 (6497)
Invested
$13.21
Value
—
PnL
-$13.21
Record
58%
4982-3643 (8625)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$14.37
Value
—
PnL
-$4.18
Record
71%
1579-644 (2223)
Invested
$5.86
Value
$5.19
PnL
-$0.67
Record
64%
2369-1311 (3680)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $805
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
suntori
Up — $490.1
asdcaxz
Up — $232.78
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $117.48
ohioism
Up — $70
wowitsamazing
Up — $121.15
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $37.16