Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 72%
1 arb excluded
$3.5K
$23.88
Smart Money Signal
13 of 18 top traders (72%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$0.67 | 61% 454-291 (745) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$17.35 | 98% 3651-75 (3726) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$2.6 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $245 | — | -$247.4 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $25.57 | $30 | +$4.43 | 54% 2295-1973 (4268) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $25.37 | $24.5 | -$0.87 | 33% 1018-2114 (3132) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $14.6 | $21 | +$6.4 | 50% 4383-4460 (8843) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 93.7¢ | $20.13 | $21 | +$0.87 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $23.4 | $20 | -$3.4 | 47% 2042-2277 (4319) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $18.5 | $25 | +$6.5 | 51% 3318-3179 (6497) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89.4¢ | $13.65 | $15.27 | +$1.62 | 67% 3341-1667 (5008) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $9.4 | $10 | +$0.6 | 47% 2135-2370 (4505) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 75.5¢ | $7.55 | $10 | +$2.45 | 52% 2630-2425 (5055) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $5.64 | $6 | +$0.36 | 42% 1643-2244 (3887) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $5.98 | $5.05 | -$0.93 | 64% 2369-1311 (3680) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.6¢ | $2.81 | — | -$2.81 | 46% 1461-1683 (3144) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $14.3 | — | -$0.52 | 62% 3938-2372 (6310) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1340-2240 (3580) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $7.47 | — | -$7.47 | 46% 2702-3200 (5902) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.31 | — | -$1.31 | 38% 1393-2264 (3657) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$0.67
Record
61%
454-291 (745)
Invested
$1,398.72
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$17.35
Record
98%
3651-75 (3726)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$2.6
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
Both legs:
Invested
$25.57
Value
$30
PnL
+$4.43
Record
54%
2295-1973 (4268)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$25.37
Value
$24.5
PnL
-$0.87
Record
33%
1018-2114 (3132)
Invested
$14.6
Value
$21
PnL
+$6.4
Record
50%
4383-4460 (8843)
Invested
$20.13
Value
$21
PnL
+$0.87
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
ohioism<$100Invested
$23.4
Value
$20
PnL
-$3.4
Record
47%
2042-2277 (4319)
Invested
$18.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$6.5
Record
51%
3318-3179 (6497)
Invested
$13.65
Value
$15.27
PnL
+$1.62
Record
67%
3341-1667 (5008)
Invested
$9.4
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.6
Record
47%
2135-2370 (4505)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.55
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.45
Record
52%
2630-2425 (5055)
Invested
$5.64
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.36
Record
42%
1643-2244 (3887)
Invested
$5.98
Value
$5.05
PnL
-$0.93
Record
64%
2369-1311 (3680)
Invested
$2.81
Value
—
PnL
-$2.81
Record
46%
1461-1683 (3144)
Invested
$14.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.52
Record
62%
3938-2372 (6310)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1340-2240 (3580)
Invested
$7.47
Value
—
PnL
-$7.47
Record
46%
2702-3200 (5902)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
—
PnL
-$1.31
Record
38%
1393-2264 (3657)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
hoodquant
Down — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Down — $30
pspspsps5
Down — $24.5
asdcaxz
Down — $21
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $21
ohioism
Down — $20
soswald1
Down — $25
asdaefef
Down — $15.27