Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 52%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$-1.8K

Smart Money Signal

11 of 21 top traders (52%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,162

Combined PnL$-1.9K

Down10 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,164

Combined PnL+$115.04

Up — 52%Down — 48%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.3K	61% 454-291 (745)
SO soswald1	Downavg 50¢	$750	$745	+$40.96	51% 3318-3179 (6497)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50.6¢	$508.3	—	-$507.1	54% 3449-2937 (6386)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.8¢	$238.93	$241.8	+$2.87	98% 3651-75 (3726)
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Upavg 35.8¢	$80.43	$73	-$7.43	50% 4383-4460 (8843)
└ Down leg	Downavg 34.1¢	$24.89	$73	+$48.11
└ Up leg	Upavg 35.8¢	$55.54	—	-$55.54
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 11.6¢	$49.92	—	-$19.96	50% 2231-2229 (4460)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 74.1¢	$31.2	$42.12	+$10.92	52% 2630-2425 (5055)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 65.5¢	$30.41	$28.52	-$1.89	54% 2295-1973 (4268)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 21.4¢	$7.01	$26.03	+$19.02	38% 1393-2264 (3657)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 31.5¢	$16.91	—	-$16.91	51% 3103-3041 (6144)
SU suntori<$100	Downavg 50¢	$18.69	$37.38	+$18.69	46% 2702-3200 (5902)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 67.1¢	$12.33	—	-$12.33	46% 1461-1683 (3144)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 61¢	$13.77	$13	+$1.96	62% 3938-2372 (6310)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 30.9¢	$5.7	$18.47	+$12.77	47% 2092-2317 (4409)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 75¢	$9.6	—	-$9.6	47% 2135-2370 (4505)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 22¢	$2.88	—	-$2.88	67% 3341-1667 (5008)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$3.5	—	-$3.5	50% 1880-1856 (3736)
BoneOhioCTR<$100	Upavg 37¢	$1.91	—	-$1.91	71% 1579-644 (2223)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 12.2¢	$0.83	$6.77	+$5.95	33% 1018-2114 (3132)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 24¢	$1.2	$5	+$3.8	47% 2042-2277 (4319)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$11.19	—	-$11.19	51% 961-907 (1868)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$5	—	-$5	58% 4982-3643 (8625)