Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Up 71%
1 arb excluded
$3.8K
-$370.77
Smart Money Signal
20 of 28 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$3.5 | 61% 446-284 (730) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $649.57 | $1.3K | +$674.34 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $659.15 | — | -$670.84 | |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 30.6¢ | $613.86 | — | -$613.86 | 50% 2222-2217 (4439) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50.3¢ | $759.65 | $701.27 | +$41.94 | 51% 3279-3161 (6440) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.4¢ | $514.51 | $490.13 | +$10.03 | 54% 3405-2902 (6307) |
 ohioism | Upavg 43.8¢ | $79.38 | $158 | +$78.62 | 47% 2019-2253 (4272) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 70¢ | $148.17 | $211.67 | +$63.5 | 50% 1358-1358 (2716) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 73.7¢ | $153.29 | $113.21 | -$29.1 | 50% 4364-4429 (8793) |
BO bosona | Upavg 73¢ | $109.5 | $150 | +$40.5 | 51% 4610-4467 (9077) |
AL almach | Upavg 72¢ | $107.99 | $149.99 | +$42 | 51% 1368-1337 (2705) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 97.9¢ | $77.2 | $78.87 | +$1.67 | 98% 3591-73 (3664) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 56.5¢ | $90.31 | — | -$88.49 | 50% 3063-3014 (6077) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 51.1¢ | $47.05 | $70 | +$22.95 | 47% 2103-2356 (4459) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 44.2¢ | $41.75 | $60 | +$18.25 | 43% 2013-2620 (4633) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $36 | $50 | +$14 | 71% 1564-636 (2200) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 52.2¢ | $47.34 | $47.86 | +$5.34 | 46% 1447-1671 (3118) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 57.4¢ | $48.08 | $46.15 | -$1.93 | 67% 3307-1655 (4962) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 48.7¢ | $16.56 | $34 | +$17.44 | 47% 2067-2299 (4366) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $56.72 | $28.3 | +$16.3 | 54% 2271-1956 (4227) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $24.96 | $26 | +$1.04 | 50% 1856-1838 (3694) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $18.26 | $19.22 | +$0.96 | 50% 2339-2380 (4719) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 53.5¢ | $10.04 | $18.67 | +$8.63 | 37% 1330-2218 (3548) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $15.66 | — | -$15.66 | 48% 1211-1300 (2511) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 69.8¢ | $13.95 | $20 | +$6.05 | 52% 2593-2411 (5004) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $4.79 | — | -$4.79 | 46% 2679-3158 (5837) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $4.43 | $5.41 | +$0.97 | 59% 3605-2478 (6083) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$3.5
Record
61%
446-284 (730)
Both legs:
Invested
$613.86
Value
—
PnL
-$613.86
Record
50%
2222-2217 (4439)
Invested
$759.65
Value
$701.27
PnL
+$41.94
Record
51%
3279-3161 (6440)
Invested
$514.51
Value
$490.13
PnL
+$10.03
Record
54%
3405-2902 (6307)
ohioismInvested
$79.38
Value
$158
PnL
+$78.62
Record
47%
2019-2253 (4272)
Invested
$148.17
Value
$211.67
PnL
+$63.5
Record
50%
1358-1358 (2716)
Invested
$153.29
Value
$113.21
PnL
-$29.1
Record
50%
4364-4429 (8793)
Invested
$109.5
Value
$150
PnL
+$40.5
Record
51%
4610-4467 (9077)
Invested
$107.99
Value
$149.99
PnL
+$42
Record
51%
1368-1337 (2705)
Invested
$77.2
Value
$78.87
PnL
+$1.67
Record
98%
3591-73 (3664)
Invested
$90.31
Value
—
PnL
-$88.49
Record
50%
3063-3014 (6077)
Invested
$47.05
Value
$70
PnL
+$22.95
Record
47%
2103-2356 (4459)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$41.75
Value
$60
PnL
+$18.25
Record
43%
2013-2620 (4633)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$36
Value
$50
PnL
+$14
Record
71%
1564-636 (2200)
Invested
$47.34
Value
$47.86
PnL
+$5.34
Record
46%
1447-1671 (3118)
Invested
$48.08
Value
$46.15
PnL
-$1.93
Record
67%
3307-1655 (4962)
Invested
$16.56
Value
$34
PnL
+$17.44
Record
47%
2067-2299 (4366)
Invested
$56.72
Value
$28.3
PnL
+$16.3
Record
54%
2271-1956 (4227)
Invested
$24.96
Value
$26
PnL
+$1.04
Record
50%
1856-1838 (3694)
Invested
$18.26
Value
$19.22
PnL
+$0.96
Record
50%
2339-2380 (4719)
Invested
$10.04
Value
$18.67
PnL
+$8.63
Record
37%
1330-2218 (3548)
Invested
$15.66
Value
—
PnL
-$15.66
Record
48%
1211-1300 (2511)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$13.95
Value
$20
PnL
+$6.05
Record
52%
2593-2411 (5004)
Invested
$4.79
Value
—
PnL
-$4.79
Record
46%
2679-3158 (5837)
Invested
$4.43
Value
$5.41
PnL
+$0.97
Record
59%
3605-2478 (6083)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
Up — $701.27
ByteBadger92
Up — $490.13
ohioism
Up — $158
mo-money
Up — $211.67
asdcaxz
Up — $113.21
bosona
Up — $150
almach
Up — $149.99
hoodquant
Up — $78.87