Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 65%
1 arb excluded
$3.6K
$131.8
Smart Money Signal
15 of 23 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.2K | -$2.56 | 61% 446-284 (730) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 53¢ | $649.81 | $866.04 | +$226.34 | 50% 2222-2217 (4439) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.9¢ | $518.24 | $495.18 | +$6.25 | 54% 3405-2902 (6307) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.3¢ | $246.63 | — | -$244 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $246.85 | $495.18 | +$250.25 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 64.4¢ | $396.9 | $353.18 | -$40.27 | 50% 3063-3014 (6077) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 72.3¢ | $203.62 | $180 | -$23.62 | 50% 4364-4429 (8793) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $163.62 | $165.27 | +$1.65 | 98% 3591-73 (3664) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 61.7¢ | $103.42 | $99.97 | -$3.45 | 51% 3279-3161 (6440) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 57.3¢ | $80.05 | $96.18 | +$16.12 | 54% 2271-1956 (4227) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 33.3¢ | $20.2 | — | -$20.2 | 47% 2103-2356 (4459) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 58.9¢ | $30.07 | $22.44 | -$0.37 | 46% 1447-1671 (3118) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $20.76 | $22.96 | +$2.2 | 50% 2339-2380 (4719) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $19.4 | $22 | +$2.6 | 52% 2593-2411 (5004) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $15.75 | $35 | +$19.25 | 48% 1211-1300 (2511) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 60.9¢ | $10.66 | $17.5 | +$6.84 | 38% 1375-2241 (3616) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 58.3¢ | $14.17 | $15 | +$3.07 | 62% 3900-2350 (6250) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.2¢ | $10.73 | — | -$10.73 | 58% 4971-3632 (8603) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $19.65 | — | -$19.65 | 37% 611-1024 (1635) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 53.8¢ | $6.46 | — | -$6.46 | 42% 1619-2223 (3842) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $5.6 | — | -$5.6 | 46% 2679-3158 (5837) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $4.3 | — | -$4.3 | 47% 2019-2253 (4272) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.8¢ | $22.97 | — | -$14.17 | 59% 3605-2478 (6083) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $1.9 | $5 | +$3.1 | 47% 2067-2299 (4366) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $2 | $5 | +$3 | 43% 2013-2620 (4633) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $4.3 | — | -$1 | 67% 3307-1655 (4962) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$2.56
Record
61%
446-284 (730)
Invested
$649.81
Value
$866.04
PnL
+$226.34
Record
50%
2222-2217 (4439)
Invested
$518.24
Value
$495.18
PnL
+$6.25
Record
54%
3405-2902 (6307)
Both legs:
Invested
$396.9
Value
$353.18
PnL
-$40.27
Record
50%
3063-3014 (6077)
Invested
$203.62
Value
$180
PnL
-$23.62
Record
50%
4364-4429 (8793)
Invested
$163.62
Value
$165.27
PnL
+$1.65
Record
98%
3591-73 (3664)
Invested
$103.42
Value
$99.97
PnL
-$3.45
Record
51%
3279-3161 (6440)
Invested
$80.05
Value
$96.18
PnL
+$16.12
Record
54%
2271-1956 (4227)
Invested
$20.2
Value
—
PnL
-$20.2
Record
47%
2103-2356 (4459)
Invested
$30.07
Value
$22.44
PnL
-$0.37
Record
46%
1447-1671 (3118)
Invested
$20.76
Value
$22.96
PnL
+$2.2
Record
50%
2339-2380 (4719)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$19.4
Value
$22
PnL
+$2.6
Record
52%
2593-2411 (5004)
Invested
$15.75
Value
$35
PnL
+$19.25
Record
48%
1211-1300 (2511)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$10.66
Value
$17.5
PnL
+$6.84
Record
38%
1375-2241 (3616)
Invested
$14.17
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.07
Record
62%
3900-2350 (6250)
Invested
$10.73
Value
—
PnL
-$10.73
Record
58%
4971-3632 (8603)
Invested
$19.65
Value
—
PnL
-$19.65
Record
37%
611-1024 (1635)
Invested
$6.46
Value
—
PnL
-$6.46
Record
42%
1619-2223 (3842)
Invested
$5.6
Value
—
PnL
-$5.6
Record
46%
2679-3158 (5837)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
—
PnL
-$4.3
Record
47%
2019-2253 (4272)
Invested
$22.97
Value
—
PnL
-$14.17
Record
59%
3605-2478 (6083)
Invested
$1.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.1
Record
47%
2067-2299 (4366)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2
Value
$5
PnL
+$3
Record
43%
2013-2620 (4633)
Invested
$4.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
67%
3307-1655 (4962)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.2K
uninformedfloww
Up — $866.04
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $353.18
asdcaxz
Up — $180
hoodquant
Up — $165.27
soswald1
Up — $99.97
ply-pm2
Up — $96.18
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0
rabadabadoo
Up — $22.44