Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 76%
1 arb excluded
$3.8K
-$398.74
Smart Money Signal
16 of 21 top traders (76%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$21.98 | 98% 3591-73 (3664) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$6.79 | 61% 446-284 (730) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $697.63 | $1.4K | +$702.39 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $694.74 | — | -$695.6 | |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.5¢ | $510.63 | $498.82 | +$4.46 | 54% 3405-2902 (6307) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 48.5¢ | $411.86 | — | -$411.86 | 50% 2222-2217 (4439) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.6¢ | $62.36 | — | -$62.26 | 50% 4364-4429 (8793) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $37.46 | $70 | +$32.54 | 43% 2013-2620 (4633) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 40.2¢ | $28.55 | $44.08 | +$15.53 | 50% 3063-3014 (6077) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.1¢ | $31.84 | — | -$31.84 | 54% 2271-1956 (4227) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $29.63 | $30.8 | +$1.17 | 67% 3307-1655 (4962) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 65.9¢ | $22.5 | $32 | +$9.5 | 52% 2593-2411 (5004) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 62.5¢ | $26.2 | $35.14 | +$8.94 | 51% 3279-3161 (6440) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $26.46 | $42 | +$15.54 | 50% 1856-1838 (3694) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.8¢ | $17.16 | — | -$17.16 | 47% 2103-2356 (4459) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.4¢ | $18.71 | — | -$18.71 | 52% 1357-1267 (2624) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 78.6¢ | $11.95 | $15.2 | +$3.25 | 38% 1375-2241 (3616) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 44.2¢ | $8.28 | $18.75 | +$10.47 | 37% 611-1024 (1635) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 68.6¢ | $8.6 | $11.86 | +$3.26 | 46% 1447-1671 (3118) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $7.37 | $6 | -$0.16 | 62% 3900-2350 (6250) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $8.8 | $11 | +$2.2 | 59% 3605-2478 (6083) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 35.5¢ | $3.55 | $10 | +$6.45 | 47% 2067-2299 (4366) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $1.9 | $5 | +$3.1 | 47% 2019-2253 (4272) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $1.14 | $6 | +$4.86 | 42% 1619-2223 (3842) |
Invested
$1,587.02
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$21.98
Record
98%
3591-73 (3664)
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$6.79
Record
61%
446-284 (730)
Both legs:
Invested
$510.63
Value
$498.82
PnL
+$4.46
Record
54%
3405-2902 (6307)
Invested
$411.86
Value
—
PnL
-$411.86
Record
50%
2222-2217 (4439)
Invested
$62.36
Value
—
PnL
-$62.26
Record
50%
4364-4429 (8793)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$37.46
Value
$70
PnL
+$32.54
Record
43%
2013-2620 (4633)
Invested
$28.55
Value
$44.08
PnL
+$15.53
Record
50%
3063-3014 (6077)
Invested
$31.84
Value
—
PnL
-$31.84
Record
54%
2271-1956 (4227)
Invested
$29.63
Value
$30.8
PnL
+$1.17
Record
67%
3307-1655 (4962)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$22.5
Value
$32
PnL
+$9.5
Record
52%
2593-2411 (5004)
Invested
$26.2
Value
$35.14
PnL
+$8.94
Record
51%
3279-3161 (6440)
Invested
$26.46
Value
$42
PnL
+$15.54
Record
50%
1856-1838 (3694)
Invested
$17.16
Value
—
PnL
-$17.16
Record
47%
2103-2356 (4459)
Invested
$18.71
Value
—
PnL
-$18.71
Record
52%
1357-1267 (2624)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$11.95
Value
$15.2
PnL
+$3.25
Record
38%
1375-2241 (3616)
Invested
$8.28
Value
$18.75
PnL
+$10.47
Record
37%
611-1024 (1635)
Invested
$8.6
Value
$11.86
PnL
+$3.26
Record
46%
1447-1671 (3118)
Invested
$7.37
Value
$6
PnL
-$0.16
Record
62%
3900-2350 (6250)
Invested
$8.8
Value
$11
PnL
+$2.2
Record
59%
3605-2478 (6083)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$10
PnL
+$6.45
Record
47%
2067-2299 (4366)
ohioism<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.1
Record
47%
2019-2253 (4272)
Invested
$1.14
Value
$6
PnL
+$4.86
Record
42%
1619-2223 (3842)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.6K
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
Up — $498.82
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
asdcaxz
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $70
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $44.08
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $30.8
MayorMamdani
Up — $32