Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.1K

Combined PnL

$-1.4K

Smart Money Signal

Down

12 of 20 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,958

Combined PnL$-1.5K

Down12 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares1,575

Combined PnL+$55.94

Up — 40%Down — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.5K	61% 441-279 (720)
SO soswald1	Downavg 50¢	$750	$750	+$1.9	51% 3258-3136 (6394)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0.81	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$248.51	—	-$249.19
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.6¢	$437.01	$443.3	+$6.29	98% 3543-73 (3616)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 88¢	$211.2	$240	+$28.8	50% 2196-2203 (4399)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 92.5¢	$50.44	$54.51	+$4.07	50% 4343-4417 (8760)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 93¢	$24.18	$26	+$1.82	47% 2043-2283 (4326)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 82.9¢	$19.89	$24	+$4.11	52% 2568-2395 (4963)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 63¢	$9.45	$15	+$5.55	54% 2251-1949 (4200)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 96¢	$4.8	$5	+$0.2	64% 2317-1294 (3611)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 96¢	$4.8	$5	+$0.2	49% 2315-2365 (4680)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 95¢	$9.5	$5	+$1.5	63% 3881-2327 (6208)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Upavg 9.5¢	$3.93	—	-$3.93	38% 607-1007 (1614)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 1.3¢	$2.63	—	-$2.63	32% 994-2093 (3087)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 75¢	$4.05	$5.4	+$1.35	67% 3285-1642 (4927)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 12¢	$2.19	—	-$2.19	59% 3587-2446 (6033)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 92¢	$1.68	$1.83	+$0.15	47% 2083-2336 (4419)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 3.4¢	$2.54	—	-$2.54	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 3.8¢	$2.67	—	-$2.67	38% 1364-2226 (3590)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.62	—	-$0.62	52% 1352-1265 (2617)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1317-2199 (3516)