Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Down 59%
3 arb excluded
$14.3K
$371.76
Smart Money Signal
16 of 27 top traders (59%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99¢ | $8.9K | $9.0K | +$90.08 | 52% 1352-1265 (2617) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$14.91 | 98% 3543-73 (3616) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.2K | -$22.15 | 61% 441-279 (720) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $626.98 | — | -$593.75 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $621.52 | $1.2K | +$571.6 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 23.3¢ | $195.86 | $839.73 | +$643.87 | 50% 2196-2203 (4399) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $778.91 | $786.78 | +$7.87 | 71% 1551-630 (2181) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.5¢ | $520.79 | $490 | -$5.19 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.5¢ | $252.03 | — | -$248.89 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.7¢ | $243.73 | $490 | +$243.7 | |
AS asdcaxzCTR | Upavg 42.2¢ | $144.99 | — | -$139.59 | 50% 4343-4417 (8760) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Upavg 57.5¢ | $130.42 | — | -$130.42 | 51% 4952-4670 (9622) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 23.2¢ | $76.38 | $67.72 | -$8.66 | 54% 2251-1949 (4200) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $33.89 | $67.72 | +$33.83 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 23.2¢ | $42.49 | — | -$42.49 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 90.4¢ | $86.85 | $77.81 | -$9.04 | 50% 1846-1828 (3674) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.4¢ | $45.47 | — | -$45.47 | 46% 1437-1660 (3097) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $52.6 | $44 | -$3.98 | 43% 1993-2596 (4589) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 | 52% 2153-1992 (4145) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 92.2¢ | $27.8 | $30.16 | +$2.36 | 49% 1453-1538 (2991) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 52.3¢ | $26 | $49.73 | +$23.73 | 47% 2043-2283 (4326) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 46.8¢ | $18.7 | $40 | +$21.3 | 48% 1194-1295 (2489) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 55.7¢ | $18.24 | $18.64 | +$5.74 | 49% 2315-2365 (4680) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 45.7¢ | $10.95 | $16.91 | +$5.96 | 47% 2083-2336 (4419) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 57.9¢ | $72.69 | — | -$53.69 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 32.2¢ | $20.49 | — | -$6.19 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 32.5¢ | $3.65 | $11.24 | +$7.59 | 38% 1364-2226 (3590) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 31.5¢ | $4.58 | $7.76 | +$3.18 | 67% 3285-1642 (4927) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.5¢ | $1.09 | — | -$1.09 | 38% 607-1007 (1614) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $2.87 | $5.34 | +$2.47 | 64% 2317-1294 (3611) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $13.49 | — | -$13.49 | 37% 1317-2199 (3516) |
Invested
$8,917.93
Value
$9.0K
PnL
+$90.08
Record
52%
1352-1265 (2617)
Invested
$1,476.09
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$14.91
Record
98%
3543-73 (3616)
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$22.15
Record
61%
441-279 (720)
Both legs:
Invested
$195.86
Value
$839.73
PnL
+$643.87
Record
50%
2196-2203 (4399)
BoneOhioInvested
$778.91
Value
$786.78
PnL
+$7.87
Record
71%
1551-630 (2181)
Invested
$520.79
Value
$490
PnL
-$5.19
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Both legs:
Invested
$144.99
Value
—
PnL
-$139.59
Record
50%
4343-4417 (8760)
Invested
$130.42
Value
—
PnL
-$130.42
Record
51%
4952-4670 (9622)
Invested
$76.38
Value
$67.72
PnL
-$8.66
Record
54%
2251-1949 (4200)
Both legs:
Invested
$86.85
Value
$77.81
PnL
-$9.04
Record
50%
1846-1828 (3674)
Invested
$45.47
Value
—
PnL
-$45.47
Record
46%
1437-1660 (3097)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$52.6
Value
$44
PnL
-$3.98
Record
43%
1993-2596 (4589)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$30
Value
$30
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2153-1992 (4145)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$27.8
Value
$30.16
PnL
+$2.36
Record
49%
1453-1538 (2991)
Invested
$26
Value
$49.73
PnL
+$23.73
Record
47%
2043-2283 (4326)
Invested
$18.7
Value
$40
PnL
+$21.3
Record
48%
1194-1295 (2489)
Invested
$18.24
Value
$18.64
PnL
+$5.74
Record
49%
2315-2365 (4680)
Invested
$10.95
Value
$16.91
PnL
+$5.96
Record
47%
2083-2336 (4419)
Invested
$72.69
Value
—
PnL
-$53.69
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
Invested
$20.49
Value
—
PnL
-$6.19
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$3.65
Value
$11.24
PnL
+$7.59
Record
38%
1364-2226 (3590)
Invested
$4.58
Value
$7.76
PnL
+$3.18
Record
67%
3285-1642 (4927)
Invested
$1.09
Value
—
PnL
-$1.09
Record
38%
607-1007 (1614)
Invested
$2.87
Value
$5.34
PnL
+$2.47
Record
64%
2317-1294 (3611)
Invested
$13.49
Value
—
PnL
-$13.49
Record
37%
1317-2199 (3516)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $9.0K
hoodquant
Down — $1.5K
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Down — $839.73
BoneOhio
Down — $786.78
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $77.81