Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 77%
$2.4K
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
17 of 22 top traders (77%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 61% 441-279 (720) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $745 | +$5.18 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.3¢ | $709.6 | $721.92 | +$12.32 | 98% 3543-73 (3616) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $505.1 | $505 | +$8.22 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 51.9¢ | $129.93 | $129.79 | -$0.14 | 50% 4343-4417 (8760) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 42.8¢ | $46.76 | $97 | +$50.24 | 58% 4958-3625 (8583) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 38.6¢ | $27.7 | $50.63 | +$22.93 | 47% 2083-2336 (4419) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 | 52% 2153-1992 (4145) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $27 | $30 | +$3 | 51% 4952-4670 (9622) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 79.3¢ | $16.65 | $21 | +$4.35 | 52% 2568-2395 (4963) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $15.03 | $15 | -$0.03 | 38% 1364-2226 (3590) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $12.96 | $14.4 | +$1.44 | 32% 994-2093 (3087) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $10.5 | $15 | +$4.5 | 54% 2251-1949 (4200) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $7.7 | $14.54 | +$6.83 | 59% 3587-2446 (6033) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $7.52 | $8.09 | +$0.57 | 67% 3285-1642 (4927) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $7.8 | — | -$7.8 | 50% 3041-2991 (6032) |
SU suntori<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $5.6 | $6.09 | +$0.49 | 46% 2653-3138 (5791) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $3.75 | $5 | +$1.25 | 43% 1993-2596 (4589) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 19.3¢ | $8.27 | — | -$0.44 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.5¢ | $3.05 | — | -$3.05 | 47% 1998-2233 (4231) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $1.76 | $4 | +$2.24 | 48% 1194-1295 (2489) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 47% 2043-2283 (4326) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
61%
441-279 (720)
Invested
$750
Value
$745
PnL
+$5.18
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
Invested
$709.6
Value
$721.92
PnL
+$12.32
Record
98%
3543-73 (3616)
Invested
$505.1
Value
$505
PnL
+$8.22
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Invested
$129.93
Value
$129.79
PnL
-$0.14
Record
50%
4343-4417 (8760)
Invested
$46.76
Value
$97
PnL
+$50.24
Record
58%
4958-3625 (8583)
Invested
$27.7
Value
$50.63
PnL
+$22.93
Record
47%
2083-2336 (4419)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$30
Value
$30
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2153-1992 (4145)
Invested
$27
Value
$30
PnL
+$3
Record
51%
4952-4670 (9622)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.65
Value
$21
PnL
+$4.35
Record
52%
2568-2395 (4963)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$15.03
Value
$15
PnL
-$0.03
Record
38%
1364-2226 (3590)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$12.96
Value
$14.4
PnL
+$1.44
Record
32%
994-2093 (3087)
Invested
$10.5
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.5
Record
54%
2251-1949 (4200)
Invested
$7.7
Value
$14.54
PnL
+$6.83
Record
59%
3587-2446 (6033)
Invested
$7.52
Value
$8.09
PnL
+$0.57
Record
67%
3285-1642 (4927)
Invested
$7.8
Value
—
PnL
-$7.8
Record
50%
3041-2991 (6032)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$6.09
PnL
+$0.49
Record
46%
2653-3138 (5791)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.25
Record
43%
1993-2596 (4589)
Invested
$8.27
Value
—
PnL
-$0.44
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$3.05
Value
—
PnL
-$3.05
Record
47%
1998-2233 (4231)
Invested
$1.76
Value
$4
PnL
+$2.24
Record
48%
1194-1295 (2489)
Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
47%
2043-2283 (4326)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
Down — $745
hoodquant
Down — $721.92
ByteBadger92
Down — $505
asdcaxz
Down — $129.79
Hcrystallash
Down — $97
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $50.63
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $30
blue.birds
Down — $30
MayorMamdani
Down — $21