Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 70%
$1.8K
$-1.4K
Smart Money Signal
16 of 23 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.3K | 61% 441-279 (720) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $517.83 | $490.02 | +$3.19 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $400.32 | $405 | +$4.68 | 98% 3543-73 (3616) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 93.5¢ | $345.96 | $359.96 | +$23.9 | 42% 1609-2196 (3805) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 89.5¢ | $185.4 | $167.39 | -$18.01 | 50% 4343-4417 (8760) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 81.2¢ | $88.47 | $104.73 | +$16.26 | 50% 3041-2991 (6032) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 77.7¢ | $55.45 | $71.34 | +$15.89 | 47% 2043-2283 (4326) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 75.4¢ | $43.37 | $57.51 | +$14.14 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 85.6¢ | $48.53 | $43 | -$5.53 | 51% 4952-4670 (9622) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $26.09 | $30 | +$3.91 | 47% 2083-2336 (4419) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 86.1¢ | $31.13 | $24.67 | -$0.7 | 67% 3285-1642 (4927) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 77.6¢ | $16.4 | $21.01 | +$4.61 | 43% 1993-2596 (4589) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $14.1 | $15 | +$0.9 | 54% 2251-1949 (4200) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90.8¢ | $16.92 | $17.35 | +$1.13 | 64% 2317-1294 (3611) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 89.1¢ | $13.42 | $15.06 | +$1.64 | 49% 2315-2365 (4680) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $13.43 | — | -$13.43 | 50% 1846-1828 (3674) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $10.5 | $12 | +$1.5 | 52% 2568-2395 (4963) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $27.73 | $9 | +$2.87 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.9¢ | $5.02 | — | -$5.02 | 38% 607-1007 (1614) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.1¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 32% 994-2093 (3087) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1.6¢ | $2.63 | — | -$2.63 | 38% 1364-2226 (3590) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.9¢ | $49.69 | — | -$49.69 | 48% 171-189 (360) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.5¢ | $3.39 | — | -$3.39 | 46% 1437-1660 (3097) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
61%
441-279 (720)
Invested
$517.83
Value
$490.02
PnL
+$3.19
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Invested
$400.32
Value
$405
PnL
+$4.68
Record
98%
3543-73 (3616)
Invested
$345.96
Value
$359.96
PnL
+$23.9
Record
42%
1609-2196 (3805)
Invested
$185.4
Value
$167.39
PnL
-$18.01
Record
50%
4343-4417 (8760)
Invested
$88.47
Value
$104.73
PnL
+$16.26
Record
50%
3041-2991 (6032)
Invested
$55.45
Value
$71.34
PnL
+$15.89
Record
47%
2043-2283 (4326)
Invested
$43.37
Value
$57.51
PnL
+$14.14
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
Invested
$48.53
Value
$43
PnL
-$5.53
Record
51%
4952-4670 (9622)
Invested
$26.09
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.91
Record
47%
2083-2336 (4419)
Invested
$31.13
Value
$24.67
PnL
-$0.7
Record
67%
3285-1642 (4927)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$16.4
Value
$21.01
PnL
+$4.61
Record
43%
1993-2596 (4589)
Invested
$14.1
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.9
Record
54%
2251-1949 (4200)
Invested
$16.92
Value
$17.35
PnL
+$1.13
Record
64%
2317-1294 (3611)
Invested
$13.42
Value
$15.06
PnL
+$1.64
Record
49%
2315-2365 (4680)
Invested
$13.43
Value
—
PnL
-$13.43
Record
50%
1846-1828 (3674)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$10.5
Value
$12
PnL
+$1.5
Record
52%
2568-2395 (4963)
Invested
$27.73
Value
$9
PnL
+$2.87
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
Invested
$5.02
Value
—
PnL
-$5.02
Record
38%
607-1007 (1614)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
32%
994-2093 (3087)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.63
Value
—
PnL
-$2.63
Record
38%
1364-2226 (3590)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.69
Value
—
PnL
-$49.69
Record
48%
171-189 (360)
Invested
$3.39
Value
—
PnL
-$3.39
Record
46%
1437-1660 (3097)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $490.02
hoodquant
Down — $405
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $359.96
asdcaxz
Down — $167.39
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $104.73
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $71.34
soswald1
Down — $57.51
blue.birds
Down — $43
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $30