Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 67%

Total Value

$3.5K

Combined PnL

-$10.02

Smart Money Signal

Down

14 of 21 top traders (67%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down14 traders

Total Value$3.5K

Total Shares3,469

Combined PnL+$42.13

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares751

Combined PnL-$52.15

Down — 67%Up — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	+$0.4	61% 441-279 (720)
SO soswald1	Downavg 50¢	$750	$750	+$1.6	51% 3258-3136 (6394)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$612.81	$619	+$6.19	98% 3543-73 (3616)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.6¢	$508.87	$500.1	+$3.93	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 85.3¢	$59.47	$47.13	-$6.46	50% 4343-4417 (8760)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$30	—	-$30	52% 2153-1992 (4145)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 88.8¢	$15.99	$18	+$2.01	63% 3881-2327 (6208)
PB PBot-5<$100	Downavg 47¢	$16.45	$35	+$18.55	48% 1194-1295 (2489)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 86¢	$11.03	$11	-$0.03	52% 2568-2395 (4963)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 68¢	$6.8	$10	+$3.2	47% 2043-2283 (4326)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 79.4¢	$9.25	$10.4	+$1.15	67% 3285-1642 (4927)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 66.5¢	$6.65	$10	+$3.35	47% 1998-2233 (4231)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Downavg 65¢	$5.37	$6.46	+$1.09	46% 1437-1660 (3097)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 55¢	$6.11	$11.11	+$5	47% 2083-2336 (4419)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 60¢	$3.26	$5.43	+$2.17	54% 2251-1949 (4200)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$4.68	—	-$4.68	52% 1352-1265 (2617)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 2.4¢	$2.67	—	-$2.67	32% 994-2093 (3087)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 6.2¢	$3.12	—	-$3.12	38% 1364-2226 (3590)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Upavg 12.5¢	$5.46	—	-$5.46	38% 607-1007 (1614)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 17.7¢	$5.92	—	-$5.92	51% 4952-4670 (9622)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 2¢	$0.3	—	-$0.3	50% 3041-2991 (6032)