Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 44%
1 arb excluded
$2.3K
-$141.12
Smart Money Signal
8 of 18 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$4.46 | 61% 441-279 (720) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.4¢ | $511.6 | $492.97 | -$0.3 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.7¢ | $244.9 | $492.97 | +$250.1 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.4¢ | $251.83 | — | -$250.4 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $184.02 | $186 | +$1.98 | 98% 3543-73 (3616) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 79.8¢ | $52.01 | $39 | -$13.01 | 51% 4952-4670 (9622) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 72.2¢ | $48.21 | $38.21 | -$4.73 | 54% 2251-1949 (4200) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $30 | — | -$30 | 52% 2153-1992 (4145) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 59.7¢ | $42.15 | — | -$41.42 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 58.3¢ | $29.07 | $25.92 | -$3.15 | 46% 1437-1660 (3097) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 68.3¢ | $20.8 | $16.74 | -$4.06 | 67% 3285-1642 (4927) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 49.2¢ | $10.59 | $16.14 | +$6.01 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.7¢ | $10.71 | — | -$10.71 | 47% 1998-2233 (4231) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $7.65 | — | -$7.65 | 47% 2043-2283 (4326) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $5.11 | — | -$5.11 | 49% 2315-2365 (4680) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 55.5¢ | $4.8 | $8.65 | +$3.85 | 50% 4343-4417 (8760) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $4.32 | — | -$4.32 | 59% 3587-2446 (6033) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 43% 1993-2596 (4589) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $2.76 | — | -$2.76 | 52% 2568-2395 (4963) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 46.9¢ | $22.95 | — | -$14.56 | 46% 2653-3138 (5791) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.6¢ | $13.38 | — | -$13.38 | 47% 2083-2336 (4419) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$4.46
Record
61%
441-279 (720)
Invested
$511.6
Value
$492.97
PnL
-$0.3
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Both legs:
Invested
$184.02
Value
$186
PnL
+$1.98
Record
98%
3543-73 (3616)
Invested
$52.01
Value
$39
PnL
-$13.01
Record
51%
4952-4670 (9622)
Invested
$48.21
Value
$38.21
PnL
-$4.73
Record
54%
2251-1949 (4200)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$30
Value
—
PnL
-$30
Record
52%
2153-1992 (4145)
Invested
$42.15
Value
—
PnL
-$41.42
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
Invested
$29.07
Value
$25.92
PnL
-$3.15
Record
46%
1437-1660 (3097)
Invested
$20.8
Value
$16.74
PnL
-$4.06
Record
67%
3285-1642 (4927)
Invested
$10.59
Value
$16.14
PnL
+$6.01
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$10.71
Value
—
PnL
-$10.71
Record
47%
1998-2233 (4231)
Invested
$7.65
Value
—
PnL
-$7.65
Record
47%
2043-2283 (4326)
Invested
$5.11
Value
—
PnL
-$5.11
Record
49%
2315-2365 (4680)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$8.65
PnL
+$3.85
Record
50%
4343-4417 (8760)
Invested
$4.32
Value
—
PnL
-$4.32
Record
59%
3587-2446 (6033)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
43%
1993-2596 (4589)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.76
Value
—
PnL
-$2.76
Record
52%
2568-2395 (4963)
Invested
$22.95
Value
—
PnL
-$14.56
Record
46%
2653-3138 (5791)
Invested
$13.38
Value
—
PnL
-$13.38
Record
47%
2083-2336 (4419)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.5K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $186
blue.birds
Up — $39
ply-pm2
Up — $38.21
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
rabadabadoo
Up — $25.92
asdaefef
Up — $16.74
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $16.14