Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
22
Down 50%
$2.3K
-$59.92
Smart Money Signal
11 of 22 top traders (50%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$6.5 | 61% 441-279 (720) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50Β’ | $501.48 | $500 | +$3.65 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $148.91 | $150.41 | +$1.5 | 98% 3543-73 (3616) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 80.2Β’ | $120.82 | $83.21 | -$37.61 | 50% 4343-4417 (8760) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 89Β’ | $44.54 | $50.02 | +$5.49 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 98.2Β’ | $56 | $31 | +$0.21 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 58Β’ | $24.5 | $25 | +$0.5 | 52% 2153-1992 (4145) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 57Β’ | $11.51 | $15 | +$3.49 | 54% 2251-1949 (4200) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 64Β’ | $10.5 | $10 | -$0.5 | 67% 3285-1642 (4927) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $9.6 | $10 | +$0.4 | 47% 1998-2233 (4231) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 21Β’ | $10.5 | β | -$10.5 | 71% 1551-630 (2181) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $8.93 | β | -$8.93 | 46% 1437-1660 (3097) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.5Β’ | $4.01 | β | -$4.01 | 52% 1352-1265 (2617) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 67.7Β’ | $4.49 | $5.1 | +$0.61 | 64% 2317-1294 (3611) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 44Β’ | $1.72 | β | -$1.72 | 47% 2043-2283 (4326) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 41Β’ | $1.42 | β | -$1.42 | 43% 1993-2596 (4589) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 52% 2568-2395 (4963) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5Β’ | $0.86 | β | -$0.86 | 32% 994-2093 (3087) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 11Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 49% 2315-2365 (4680) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 4Β’ | $0.6 | β | -$0.6 | 51% 4952-4670 (9622) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.1Β’ | $9.34 | β | -$9.34 | 46% 2653-3138 (5791) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.4Β’ | $4.75 | β | -$4.75 | 38% 1364-2226 (3590) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$6.5
Record
61%
441-279 (720)
Invested
$501.48
Value
$500
PnL
+$3.65
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Invested
$148.91
Value
$150.41
PnL
+$1.5
Record
98%
3543-73 (3616)
Invested
$120.82
Value
$83.21
PnL
-$37.61
Record
50%
4343-4417 (8760)
Invested
$44.54
Value
$50.02
PnL
+$5.49
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
Invested
$56
Value
$31
PnL
+$0.21
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$24.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$0.5
Record
52%
2153-1992 (4145)
Invested
$11.51
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.49
Record
54%
2251-1949 (4200)
Invested
$10.5
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.5
Record
67%
3285-1642 (4927)
ohioism<$100Invested
$9.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.4
Record
47%
1998-2233 (4231)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$10.5
Value
β
PnL
-$10.5
Record
71%
1551-630 (2181)
Invested
$8.93
Value
β
PnL
-$8.93
Record
46%
1437-1660 (3097)
Invested
$4.01
Value
β
PnL
-$4.01
Record
52%
1352-1265 (2617)
Invested
$4.49
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$0.61
Record
64%
2317-1294 (3611)
Invested
$1.72
Value
β
PnL
-$1.72
Record
47%
2043-2283 (4326)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.42
Value
β
PnL
-$1.42
Record
43%
1993-2596 (4589)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
52%
2568-2395 (4963)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.86
Value
β
PnL
-$0.86
Record
32%
994-2093 (3087)
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
49%
2315-2365 (4680)
Invested
$0.6
Value
β
PnL
-$0.6
Record
51%
4952-4670 (9622)
Invested
$9.34
Value
β
PnL
-$9.34
Record
46%
2653-3138 (5791)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.75
Value
β
PnL
-$4.75
Record
38%
1364-2226 (3590)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down β $1.4K
ByteBadger92
Down β $500
hoodquant
Down β $150.41
asdcaxz
Down β $83.21
soswald1
Down β $50.02
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $31

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $25
ply-pm2
Down β $15
asdaefef
Down β $10

ohioism
Down β $10