Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 71%

7 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.0K

Combined PnL

-$93.8

Smart Money Signal

12 of 17 top traders (71%)7 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares300

Combined PnL-$224.29

Down5 traders

Total Value$198.1

Total Shares198

Combined PnL+$130.49

Up — 71%Down — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.3K	+$23.14	61% 441-279 (720)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$642.14	—	-$599.88
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$643.78	$1.3K	+$623.03
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$750	$669	-$5.95	51% 3258-3136 (6394)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$337.94	—	-$329.49
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$334.5	$669	+$323.54
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$500	$490	+$2.7	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	—	-$242.1
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$244.8
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Upavg 59.9¢	$168.22	$149.49	-$18.73	50% 4343-4417 (8760)
└ Up leg	Upavg 59.9¢	$135.4	—	-$135.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 22¢	$32.82	$149.49	+$116.67
BL blue.birdsARB<$100	Upavg 57.6¢	$79.94	$68.5	-$11.44	51% 4952-4670 (9622)
└ Up leg	Upavg 57.6¢	$60.33	—	-$60.33
└ Down leg	Downavg 28.6¢	$19.61	$68.5	+$48.89
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 70.2¢	$74.51	$58.03	-$16.48	54% 2251-1949 (4200)
└ Up leg	Upavg 70.2¢	$56.38	—	-$56.38
└ Down leg	Downavg 31.2¢	$18.13	$58.03	+$39.9
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Upavg 70.7¢	$74.11	$61.71	-$12.4	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
└ Up leg	Upavg 70.7¢	$44.14	—	-$44.14
└ Down leg	Downavg 48.6¢	$29.97	$61.71	+$31.74
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 64¢	$60.27	—	-$60.27	52% 2153-1992 (4145)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 22¢	$20.5	$67	+$46.5	47% 1998-2233 (4231)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 39.8¢	$26.94	$67.64	+$40.7	47% 2043-2283 (4326)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 61.9¢	$28.68	—	-$28.68	47% 2083-2336 (4419)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Upavg 43.9¢	$18.09	—	-$18.09	46% 1437-1660 (3097)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 42.9¢	$16.24	—	-$16.24	67% 3285-1642 (4927)
AL almachCTR<$100	Upavg 64¢	$28.8	—	-$28.8	50% 1354-1329 (2683)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 32.3¢	$12.51	—	-$12.51	49% 2315-2365 (4680)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 75¢	$14.22	—	-$14.22	43% 1993-2596 (4589)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 47.3¢	$14.2	$30	+$15.8	50% 770-773 (1543)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 74.9¢	$14.85	—	-$14.85	59% 3587-2446 (6033)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Upavg 45¢	$10.56	—	-$10.56	58% 4958-3625 (8583)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 19.7¢	$4.72	$24	+$19.28	38% 1364-2226 (3590)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 11.7¢	$1.26	$9.47	+$8.21	52% 2568-2395 (4963)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$4.8	—	-$4.8	64% 2317-1294 (3611)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 83¢	$31.32	—	-$11.4	63% 3881-2327 (6208)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Upavg 48.8¢	$3.86	—	-$3.86	38% 607-1007 (1614)