Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 66% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 66%
1 arb excluded
$4.6K
$461.96
Smart Money Signal
19 of 29 top traders (66%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 55.8¢ | $855.69 | $1.3K | +$471.95 | 50% 2139-2136 (4275) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.2K | -$1.4 | 62% 427-267 (694) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $740 | +$24.64 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $511.5 | $496 | +$5.54 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $178.96 | $181.31 | +$2.35 | 98% 3454-73 (3527) |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Downavg 64.2¢ | $190.1 | $165.99 | -$24.1 | 50% 4298-4377 (8675) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 64.2¢ | $106.6 | $165.99 | +$59.4 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 35.8¢ | $83.5 | — | -$83.5 | |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 77.1¢ | $127.1 | $90.88 | -$18.58 | 52% 2111-1963 (4074) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 64.7¢ | $44.63 | $69 | +$24.37 | 58% 4940-3609 (8549) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 55.8¢ | $46.45 | $56.99 | +$10.54 | 54% 2215-1915 (4130) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $57.77 | $63.07 | +$5.3 | 60% 3539-2389 (5928) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 63.1¢ | $26.22 | $41.54 | +$15.32 | 47% 2034-2298 (4332) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $34 | $50 | +$16 | 71% 1515-611 (2126) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 31.4¢ | $30.46 | — | -$30.46 | 51% 926-882 (1808) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.9¢ | $22.54 | — | -$22.54 | 52% 4918-4624 (9542) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $15.4 | $35 | +$19.6 | 48% 1159-1269 (2428) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.2¢ | $13.9 | — | -$13.9 | 38% 598-977 (1575) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 47.5¢ | $9.5 | $20 | +$10.5 | 50% 747-748 (1495) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 71.8¢ | $9.38 | $11.32 | +$1.94 | 67% 3226-1609 (4835) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 67.8¢ | $6.94 | $10.24 | +$3.3 | 52% 2516-2359 (4875) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $6.86 | $7 | +$0.14 | 64% 2269-1266 (3535) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $4.02 | $6 | +$1.98 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $6.78 | — | -$6.78 | 47% 1989-2244 (4233) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 85.9¢ | $4.86 | $5.66 | +$0.8 | 49% 2260-2317 (4577) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $3.65 | $5 | +$1.35 | 44% 1957-2530 (4487) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 31.5¢ | $12.97 | — | -$4.71 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
Invested
$855.69
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$471.95
Record
50%
2139-2136 (4275)
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$1.4
Record
62%
427-267 (694)
Invested
$750
Value
$740
PnL
+$24.64
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
Invested
$511.5
Value
$496
PnL
+$5.54
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Invested
$178.96
Value
$181.31
PnL
+$2.35
Record
98%
3454-73 (3527)
Invested
$190.1
Value
$165.99
PnL
-$24.1
Record
50%
4298-4377 (8675)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$127.1
Value
$90.88
PnL
-$18.58
Record
52%
2111-1963 (4074)
Invested
$44.63
Value
$69
PnL
+$24.37
Record
58%
4940-3609 (8549)
Invested
$46.45
Value
$56.99
PnL
+$10.54
Record
54%
2215-1915 (4130)
Invested
$57.77
Value
$63.07
PnL
+$5.3
Record
60%
3539-2389 (5928)
Invested
$26.22
Value
$41.54
PnL
+$15.32
Record
47%
2034-2298 (4332)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$34
Value
$50
PnL
+$16
Record
71%
1515-611 (2126)
Invested
$30.46
Value
—
PnL
-$30.46
Record
51%
926-882 (1808)
Invested
$22.54
Value
—
PnL
-$22.54
Record
52%
4918-4624 (9542)
Invested
$15.4
Value
$35
PnL
+$19.6
Record
48%
1159-1269 (2428)
Invested
$13.9
Value
—
PnL
-$13.9
Record
38%
598-977 (1575)
Invested
$9.5
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.5
Record
50%
747-748 (1495)
Invested
$9.38
Value
$11.32
PnL
+$1.94
Record
67%
3226-1609 (4835)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$6.94
Value
$10.24
PnL
+$3.3
Record
52%
2516-2359 (4875)
Invested
$6.86
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.14
Record
64%
2269-1266 (3535)
Invested
$4.02
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.98
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
Invested
$6.78
Value
—
PnL
-$6.78
Record
47%
1989-2244 (4233)
Invested
$4.86
Value
$5.66
PnL
+$0.8
Record
49%
2260-2317 (4577)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.35
Record
44%
1957-2530 (4487)
Invested
$12.97
Value
—
PnL
-$4.71
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down — $1.3K
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.2K
soswald1
Down — $740
ByteBadger92
Down — $496
hoodquant
Down — $181.31
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $90.88
Hcrystallash
Down — $69
ply-pm2
Down — $56.99
aaa221
Down — $63.07