Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 69%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.3K

Combined PnL

$195.18

Smart Money Signal

Down

20 of 29 top traders (69%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%25 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down20 traders

Total Value$3.0K

Total Shares3,016

Combined PnL+$397.41

Up9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares518

Combined PnL-$202.23

Down — 69%Up — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 60.9¢	$1.3K	$1.5K	+$171.18	50% 2139-2136 (4275)
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$1.5K	$787.44	+$4.45	62% 427-267 (694)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$393.72	$787.44	+$491.95
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$397.52	—	-$487.5
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Downavg 81.9¢	$739.35	$675.31	+$84.34	42% 1545-2147 (3692)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$524.02	$498	+$11.17	54% 3302-2813 (6115)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$248.82	$498	+$255.28
└ Up leg	Upavg 48.9¢	$243.16	—	-$244.11
PB PBot-5	Downavg 60.5¢	$109.43	$181	+$71.57	48% 1159-1269 (2428)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 64¢	$72.88	$99.64	+$31.91	51% 3198-3088 (6286)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 56.6¢	$70.65	$81.5	+$10.85	54% 2215-1915 (4130)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 84.5¢	$81.21	$69.53	-$8.68	50% 4298-4377 (8675)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Upavg 30.7¢	$61.31	—	-$61.31	51% 926-882 (1808)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 80.9¢	$43.86	$54.23	+$10.37	47% 1989-2244 (4233)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 35.7¢	$45.04	—	-$45.04	52% 4918-4624 (9542)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Downavg 74.8¢	$51.43	$64.31	+$12.88	58% 4940-3609 (8549)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 76.4¢	$49.62	$49.84	+$0.22	50% 3000-2949 (5949)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 78.6¢	$153.53	$34.68	-$15.41	52% 2111-1963 (4074)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Downavg 54.7¢	$32.66	$33.01	+$2.7	46% 1413-1633 (3046)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 86.3¢	$26.34	$29	+$4.22	38% 1343-2192 (3535)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 61¢	$20.05	$25	+$4.95	44% 1957-2530 (4487)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 62.5¢	$18.17	$26.67	+$8.5	47% 2034-2298 (4332)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 97.5¢	$27.02	$19	-$2.29	63% 3817-2281 (6098)
SU suntori<$100	Downavg 65.5¢	$16.8	$25.64	+$8.84	46% 2616-3104 (5720)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 81.8¢	$19.87	$15.8	-$4.03	49% 2260-2317 (4577)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 27.3¢	$29.5	—	-$27.04	47% 1969-2182 (4151)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 60.3¢	$12.74	$14.33	+$5.89	67% 3226-1609 (4835)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Downavg 81¢	$12.11	$10.05	-$2.06	38% 598-977 (1575)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 78.7¢	$6.78	$8.23	+$1.45	52% 2516-2359 (4875)

uninformedfloww

Down

Invested

$1,337.37

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$171.18

Record

50%

2139-2136 (4275)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100

Invested

$1,500

Value

$787.44

PnL

+$4.45

Record

62%

427-267 (694)

Both legs:

Down$393.7250¢+$491.95

Up$397.5250¢-$487.5

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down

Invested

$739.35

Value

$675.31

PnL

+$84.34

Record

42%

1545-2147 (3692)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Down

Invested

$524.02

Value

$498

PnL

+$11.17

Record

54%

3302-2813 (6115)

Both legs:

Down$248.8250¢+$255.28

Up$243.1648.9¢-$244.11

PBot-5

Down

Invested

$109.43

Value

$181

PnL

+$71.57

Record

48%

1159-1269 (2428)

soswald1<$100

Down

Invested

$72.88

Value

$99.64

PnL

+$31.91

Record

51%

3198-3088 (6286)

ply-pm2<$100

Down

Invested

$70.65

Value

$81.5

PnL

+$10.85

Record

54%

2215-1915 (4130)

asdcaxz<$100

Down

Invested

$81.21

Value

$69.53

PnL

-$8.68

Record

50%

4298-4377 (8675)

Little-bigCTR<$100

Invested

$61.31

Value

—

PnL

-$61.31

Record

51%

926-882 (1808)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Down

Invested

$43.86

Value

$54.23

PnL

+$10.37

Record

47%

1989-2244 (4233)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$45.04

Value

—

PnL

-$45.04

Record

52%

4918-4624 (9542)

Hcrystallash<$100

Down

Invested

$51.43

Value

$64.31

PnL

+$12.88

Record

58%

4940-3609 (8549)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Down

Invested

$49.62

Value

$49.84

PnL

+$0.22

Record

50%

3000-2949 (5949)

Polkadot-Frog

Down

Invested

$153.53

Value

$34.68

PnL

-$15.41

Record

52%

2111-1963 (4074)

rabadabadoo<$100

Down

Invested

$32.66

Value

$33.01

PnL

+$2.7

Record

46%

1413-1633 (3046)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Down

Invested

$26.34

Value

$29

PnL

+$4.22

Record

38%

1343-2192 (3535)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Down

Invested

$20.05

Value

$25

PnL

+$4.95

Record

44%

1957-2530 (4487)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Down

Invested

$18.17

Value

$26.67

PnL

+$8.5

Record

47%

2034-2298 (4332)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Down

Invested

$27.02

Value

$19

PnL

-$2.29

Record

63%

3817-2281 (6098)

suntori<$100

Down

Invested

$16.8

Value

$25.64

PnL

+$8.84

Record

46%

2616-3104 (5720)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Down

Invested

$19.87

Value

$15.8

PnL

-$4.03

Record

49%

2260-2317 (4577)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$29.5

Value

—

PnL

-$27.04

Record

47%

1969-2182 (4151)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$12.74

Value

$14.33

PnL

+$5.89

Record

67%

3226-1609 (4835)

flippingsharks<$100

Down

Invested

$12.11

Value

$10.05

PnL

-$2.06

Record

38%

598-977 (1575)

MayorMamdani<$100

Down

Invested

$6.78

Value

$8.23

PnL

+$1.45

Record

52%

2516-2359 (4875)

Smart Money Signal

Down

20 of 29 top traders (69%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%25 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xed0bd1b3...df6a4f

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794666300

Traders in this Market

uninformedfloww

Down — $1.5K

+$171.18

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$4.45

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $675.31

+$84.34

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$11.17

PBot-5

Down — $181

+$71.57

soswald1

Down — $99.64

+$31.91

ply-pm2

Down — $81.5

+$10.85

asdcaxz

Down — $69.53

-$8.68

Little-big

CTR

Up — $0

-$61.31

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $54.23

+$10.37

Trade on Polymarket