Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 37% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 37%
2 arb excluded
$3.0K
-$231.25
Smart Money Signal
10 of 27 top traders (37%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed17 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.2K | -$0.72 | 62% 427-267 (694) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50.3¢ | $761.95 | $730 | +$43.95 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $507.85 | $490 | -$7.05 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.1¢ | $245.29 | $490 | +$245.5 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $252.55 | — | -$252.55 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100 | Upavg 55.3¢ | $164.68 | $242.69 | +$78.01 | 50% 1823-1791 (3614) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 55.3¢ | $134.31 | $242.69 | +$108.37 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 45.8¢ | $30.36 | — | -$30.36 | |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98.4¢ | $67.87 | $69 | +$1.13 | 98% 3454-73 (3527) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 31.1¢ | $96.7 | — | -$77.75 | 50% 4298-4377 (8675) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 64.1¢ | $56.12 | $85 | +$28.88 | 52% 2111-1963 (4074) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 95.1¢ | $43.45 | $40 | -$2.95 | 47% 1969-2182 (4151) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 97.2¢ | $55.64 | $29.55 | -$0.6 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 64.2¢ | $23.22 | $36.19 | +$12.97 | 38% 598-977 (1575) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.7¢ | $17.28 | — | -$17.28 | 50% 747-748 (1495) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $15.82 | — | -$15.82 | 54% 2215-1915 (4130) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $21.07 | $20 | +$0.57 | 60% 3539-2389 (5928) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $8.4 | — | -$8.4 | 44% 1957-2530 (4487) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $7.65 | — | -$7.65 | 47% 1989-2244 (4233) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.6¢ | $10.85 | — | -$10.85 | 52% 4918-4624 (9542) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 71% 1515-611 (2126) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $4.67 | $9.16 | +$4.49 | 46% 2616-3104 (5720) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $4.02 | $6 | +$1.98 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $2.88 | — | -$2.88 | 47% 2034-2298 (4332) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.5¢ | $2.13 | — | -$2.13 | 46% 1413-1633 (3046) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $0.57 | — | -$0.57 | 52% 2516-2359 (4875) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 6.5¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 32% 980-2061 (3041) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 23.1¢ | $115.79 | — | -$115.79 | 50% 2139-2136 (4275) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 1298-2160 (3458) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$0.72
Record
62%
427-267 (694)
Invested
$761.95
Value
$730
PnL
+$43.95
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
Invested
$507.85
Value
$490
PnL
-$7.05
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Both legs:
Invested
$164.68
Value
$242.69
PnL
+$78.01
Record
50%
1823-1791 (3614)
Both legs:
Invested
$67.87
Value
$69
PnL
+$1.13
Record
98%
3454-73 (3527)
Invested
$96.7
Value
—
PnL
-$77.75
Record
50%
4298-4377 (8675)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$56.12
Value
$85
PnL
+$28.88
Record
52%
2111-1963 (4074)
ohioism<$100Invested
$43.45
Value
$40
PnL
-$2.95
Record
47%
1969-2182 (4151)
Invested
$55.64
Value
$29.55
PnL
-$0.6
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
Invested
$23.22
Value
$36.19
PnL
+$12.97
Record
38%
598-977 (1575)
Invested
$17.28
Value
—
PnL
-$17.28
Record
50%
747-748 (1495)
Invested
$15.82
Value
—
PnL
-$15.82
Record
54%
2215-1915 (4130)
Invested
$21.07
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.57
Record
60%
3539-2389 (5928)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$8.4
Value
—
PnL
-$8.4
Record
44%
1957-2530 (4487)
Invested
$7.65
Value
—
PnL
-$7.65
Record
47%
1989-2244 (4233)
Invested
$10.85
Value
—
PnL
-$10.85
Record
52%
4918-4624 (9542)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
71%
1515-611 (2126)
Invested
$4.67
Value
$9.16
PnL
+$4.49
Record
46%
2616-3104 (5720)
Invested
$4.02
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.98
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
Invested
$2.88
Value
—
PnL
-$2.88
Record
47%
2034-2298 (4332)
Invested
$2.13
Value
—
PnL
-$2.13
Record
46%
1413-1633 (3046)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.57
Value
—
PnL
-$0.57
Record
52%
2516-2359 (4875)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
32%
980-2061 (3041)
Invested
$115.79
Value
—
PnL
-$115.79
Record
50%
2139-2136 (4275)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
1298-2160 (3458)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.2K
soswald1
Up — $730
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $69
asdcaxz
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $85
ohioism
Up — $40
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $29.55
flippingsharks
Up — $36.19