Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 63%
4 arb excluded
$3.3K
$105.96
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | -$57.73 | 62% 427-267 (694) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $645.89 | $1.3K | +$613.95 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $692.75 | — | -$671.68 | |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | $715 | +$15.23 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $357.5 | $715 | +$360.3 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $343.06 | — | -$345.07 | |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 51.1¢ | $523.78 | $505.68 | +$8.04 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
SU suntori | Upavg 20.9¢ | $75.68 | $247.94 | +$181.33 | 46% 2616-3104 (5720) |
BL blue.birdsARB<$100 | Upavg 56.8¢ | $181.36 | $195.18 | +$13.82 | 52% 4918-4624 (9542) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 56.8¢ | $110.93 | $195.18 | +$84.25 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 30.5¢ | $70.43 | — | -$70.43 | |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 59.7¢ | $131.07 | $146.79 | +$18.82 | 50% 4298-4377 (8675) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 69.1¢ | $103 | $78.7 | -$24.3 | 54% 2215-1915 (4130) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 69.1¢ | $54.35 | $78.7 | +$24.35 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 46.3¢ | $48.65 | — | -$48.65 | |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $63.46 | $64.1 | +$0.64 | 98% 3454-73 (3527) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.4¢ | $18.45 | — | -$18.45 | 47% 1989-2244 (4233) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $64.26 | — | -$9.17 | 52% 2111-1963 (4074) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $18.57 | $29 | +$10.43 | 50% 1823-1791 (3614) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $25.97 | — | -$25.1 | 46% 1413-1633 (3046) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 91.7¢ | $13.8 | $15.05 | +$1.25 | 48% 1402-1515 (2917) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 43.1¢ | $8.63 | $14.16 | +$5.53 | 52% 2516-2359 (4875) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 49.1¢ | $16.11 | $18.46 | +$2.35 | 67% 3226-1609 (4835) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 58.7¢ | $12.91 | — | -$12.91 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.3¢ | $9.03 | — | -$9.03 | 38% 598-977 (1575) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $4.2 | $6.59 | +$2.39 | 49% 2260-2317 (4577) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $3.1 | $5 | +$1.9 | 47% 1969-2182 (4151) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 59.8¢ | $52.06 | — | -$52.06 | 50% 2139-2136 (4275) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$57.73
Record
62%
427-267 (694)
Both legs:
Invested
$750
Value
$715
PnL
+$15.23
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
Both legs:
Invested
$523.78
Value
$505.68
PnL
+$8.04
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Invested
$75.68
Value
$247.94
PnL
+$181.33
Record
46%
2616-3104 (5720)
Invested
$181.36
Value
$195.18
PnL
+$13.82
Record
52%
4918-4624 (9542)
Both legs:
Invested
$131.07
Value
$146.79
PnL
+$18.82
Record
50%
4298-4377 (8675)
Invested
$103
Value
$78.7
PnL
-$24.3
Record
54%
2215-1915 (4130)
Both legs:
Invested
$63.46
Value
$64.1
PnL
+$0.64
Record
98%
3454-73 (3527)
Invested
$18.45
Value
—
PnL
-$18.45
Record
47%
1989-2244 (4233)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$64.26
Value
—
PnL
-$9.17
Record
52%
2111-1963 (4074)
Invested
$18.57
Value
$29
PnL
+$10.43
Record
50%
1823-1791 (3614)
Invested
$25.97
Value
—
PnL
-$25.1
Record
46%
1413-1633 (3046)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$13.8
Value
$15.05
PnL
+$1.25
Record
48%
1402-1515 (2917)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.63
Value
$14.16
PnL
+$5.53
Record
52%
2516-2359 (4875)
Invested
$16.11
Value
$18.46
PnL
+$2.35
Record
67%
3226-1609 (4835)
Invested
$12.91
Value
—
PnL
-$12.91
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
Invested
$9.03
Value
—
PnL
-$9.03
Record
38%
598-977 (1575)
Invested
$4.2
Value
$6.59
PnL
+$2.39
Record
49%
2260-2317 (4577)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.1
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.9
Record
47%
1969-2182 (4151)
Invested
$52.06
Value
—
PnL
-$52.06
Record
50%
2139-2136 (4275)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
Up — $505.68
suntori
Up — $247.94
blue.birds
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
Up — $146.79
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $64.1
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0