Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
24
Down 57%
$913.74
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 24 top traders (54%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | 62% 427-267 (694) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 51.5¢ | $517.67 | $500 | +$3.2 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $170.26 | $172 | +$1.74 | 98% 3454-73 (3527) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 92.5¢ | $114.61 | $118.61 | +$4.61 | 50% 4298-4377 (8675) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 87.1¢ | $30.76 | $30 | +$0.54 | 52% 4918-4624 (9542) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $5.81 | — | -$5.81 | 38% 1343-2192 (3535) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $20.82 | — | -$20.82 | 50% 1823-1791 (3614) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $24.12 | $23.07 | -$1.05 | 67% 3226-1609 (4835) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $15.27 | $15.9 | +$0.63 | 32% 980-2061 (3041) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 88.8¢ | $28.65 | $15.56 | -$4.59 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $14.19 | $15 | +$0.81 | 50% 3000-2949 (5949) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.6¢ | $46.7 | — | -$46.56 | 46% 2616-3104 (5720) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 95.5¢ | $15.33 | $11.04 | +$0.49 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 8.9¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 54% 2215-1915 (4130) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 71% 1515-611 (2126) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $5.18 | — | -$5.18 | 58% 4940-3609 (8549) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $11.52 | $12 | +$0.48 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.24 | — | -$0.24 | 52% 2516-2359 (4875) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $0.56 | $0.56 | +$0 | 51% 1328-1257 (2585) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $3.49 | — | -$3.49 | 46% 1413-1633 (3046) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 49% 2260-2317 (4577) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 47% 1969-2182 (4151) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.5¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 50% 2139-2136 (4275) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $49.13 | — | +$3.67 | 52% 2111-1963 (4074) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
62%
427-267 (694)
Invested
$517.67
Value
$500
PnL
+$3.2
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Invested
$170.26
Value
$172
PnL
+$1.74
Record
98%
3454-73 (3527)
Invested
$114.61
Value
$118.61
PnL
+$4.61
Record
50%
4298-4377 (8675)
Invested
$30.76
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.54
Record
52%
4918-4624 (9542)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$5.81
Value
—
PnL
-$5.81
Record
38%
1343-2192 (3535)
Invested
$20.82
Value
—
PnL
-$20.82
Record
50%
1823-1791 (3614)
Invested
$24.12
Value
$23.07
PnL
-$1.05
Record
67%
3226-1609 (4835)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$15.27
Value
$15.9
PnL
+$0.63
Record
32%
980-2061 (3041)
Invested
$28.65
Value
$15.56
PnL
-$4.59
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
Invested
$14.19
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.81
Record
50%
3000-2949 (5949)
Invested
$46.7
Value
—
PnL
-$46.56
Record
46%
2616-3104 (5720)
Invested
$15.33
Value
$11.04
PnL
+$0.49
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
54%
2215-1915 (4130)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
71%
1515-611 (2126)
Invested
$5.18
Value
—
PnL
-$5.18
Record
58%
4940-3609 (8549)
Invested
$11.52
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.48
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.24
Value
—
PnL
-$0.24
Record
52%
2516-2359 (4875)
Invested
$0.56
Value
$0.56
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
1328-1257 (2585)
Invested
$3.49
Value
—
PnL
-$3.49
Record
46%
1413-1633 (3046)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
49%
2260-2317 (4577)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
47%
1969-2182 (4151)
Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
50%
2139-2136 (4275)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$49.13
Value
—
PnL
+$3.67
Record
52%
2111-1963 (4074)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
hoodquant
Up — $172
asdcaxz
Up — $118.61
blue.birds
Up — $30
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $23.07
pspspsps5
Up — $15.9
soswald1
Up — $15.56