Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
22
Up 52%
$2.6K
-$557.66
Smart Money Signal
12 of 22 top traders (55%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$1.51 | 62% 421-262 (683) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50Β’ | $750 | $720 | +$10.09 | 51% 3170-3070 (6240) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.9Β’ | $504.5 | β | -$501.75 | 54% 3273-2778 (6051) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $247.5 | $250 | +$2.5 | 98% 3425-72 (3497) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 77.9Β’ | $90.67 | $100.82 | +$10.15 | 49% 4271-4363 (8634) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $64.41 | $37 | -$10.14 | 52% 2098-1948 (4046) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.4Β’ | $29 | β | -$29 | 50% 740-741 (1481) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 63.6Β’ | $26.06 | $41 | +$14.94 | 50% 1805-1780 (3585) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 36.3Β’ | $10.9 | β | -$10.9 | 48% 1156-1258 (2414) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 61Β’ | $9.6 | $15.74 | +$6.14 | 47% 2017-2278 (4295) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $8.25 | $11 | +$2.75 | 44% 1940-2509 (4449) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 95Β’ | $6.72 | $7.07 | +$0.35 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 95Β’ | $5.7 | $6 | +$0.3 | 42% 1520-2127 (3647) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 62Β’ | $4.22 | $5.08 | +$0.86 | 46% 1397-1625 (3022) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 24.4Β’ | $0.97 | β | -$0.97 | 54% 2198-1898 (4096) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.6Β’ | $1.4 | β | -$1.4 | 60% 3515-2365 (5880) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.84 | β | -$0.84 | 32% 974-2040 (3014) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.5Β’ | $4.08 | β | -$4.08 | 38% 1328-2178 (3506) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 34.6Β’ | $30.4 | β | -$30.4 | 50% 2116-2116 (4232) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 29.6Β’ | $10.35 | β | -$10.35 | 47% 1952-2164 (4116) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 27.1Β’ | $8.47 | β | -$8.47 | 47% 1973-2229 (4202) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $3.75 | β | +$1.05 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$1.51
Record
62%
421-262 (683)
Invested
$750
Value
$720
PnL
+$10.09
Record
51%
3170-3070 (6240)
Invested
$504.5
Value
β
PnL
-$501.75
Record
54%
3273-2778 (6051)
Invested
$247.5
Value
$250
PnL
+$2.5
Record
98%
3425-72 (3497)
Invested
$90.67
Value
$100.82
PnL
+$10.15
Record
49%
4271-4363 (8634)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$64.41
Value
$37
PnL
-$10.14
Record
52%
2098-1948 (4046)
Invested
$29
Value
β
PnL
-$29
Record
50%
740-741 (1481)
Invested
$26.06
Value
$41
PnL
+$14.94
Record
50%
1805-1780 (3585)
Invested
$10.9
Value
β
PnL
-$10.9
Record
48%
1156-1258 (2414)
Invested
$9.6
Value
$15.74
PnL
+$6.14
Record
47%
2017-2278 (4295)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$8.25
Value
$11
PnL
+$2.75
Record
44%
1940-2509 (4449)
Invested
$6.72
Value
$7.07
PnL
+$0.35
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.3
Record
42%
1520-2127 (3647)
Invested
$4.22
Value
$5.08
PnL
+$0.86
Record
46%
1397-1625 (3022)
Invested
$0.97
Value
β
PnL
-$0.97
Record
54%
2198-1898 (4096)
Invested
$1.4
Value
β
PnL
-$1.4
Record
60%
3515-2365 (5880)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.84
Value
β
PnL
-$0.84
Record
32%
974-2040 (3014)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.08
Value
β
PnL
-$4.08
Record
38%
1328-2178 (3506)
Invested
$30.4
Value
β
PnL
-$30.4
Record
50%
2116-2116 (4232)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$10.35
Value
β
PnL
-$10.35
Record
47%
1952-2164 (4116)
Invested
$8.47
Value
β
PnL
-$8.47
Record
47%
1973-2229 (4202)
Invested
$3.75
Value
β
PnL
+$1.05
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up β $1.4K
soswald1
Up β $720
ByteBadger92
CTRDown β $0
hoodquant
Up β $250
asdcaxz
Up β $100.82

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $37
PBot-6
CTRDown β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $41
PBot-5
CTRDown β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $15.74